MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Mike ClevingerThomas PannoneBlue Jays9910298101101979.01501:07 PM
    Josh RogersRyne StanekRays92959794901101:10 PM
    John GantMichael FulmerTigers103981041031011048.51051:10 PM
    Vince VelasquezJacob deGromMets90931019092106
    Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Mike ClevingerThomas PannoneBlue Jays9910298101101979.01501:07 PM
    Josh RogersRyne StanekRays92959794901101:10 PM
    John GantMichael FulmerTigers103981041031011048.51051:10 PM
    Vince VelasquezJacob deGromMets909310190921066.5-1701:10 PM
    Mike MontgomeryErick FeddeNationals1009889105114989.51051:35 PM
    Jeff BrighamTrevor WilliamsPirates969710110383948.0-1951:35 PM
    Andrew HeaneyReynaldo LopezWhite Sox9590122991101062:10 PM
    Madison BumgarnerZach DaviesBrewers105103131961081038.0-1502:10 PM
    Ian KennedyChase De JongTwins10510395105113932:10 PM
    Rich HillTyler AndersonRockies1381211171161188710.51103:10 PM
    Jeffrey SpringsTrevor CahillAthletics9697849787969.0-2354:05 PM
    Touki ToussaintRobbie RayDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.5-1504:10 PM
    Jacob NixTyler MahleReds104100119981081069.0-1404:10 PM
    CC SabathiaErasmo RamirezMariners919610594971048.51154:10 PM
    Dallas KeuchelRick PorcelloRed Sox11411278109105999.0-1108:08 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Tyler Anderson (L)v LAD239.722.67.714.91.654.811.30$5,700$6,2009921.6
    Jeff Brigham (R)at PIT3.011.823.5-11.80.009.002.67$5,400$5,5009818.8
    Madison Bumgarner (L)at MIL216.721.46.614.91.203.201.17$9,200$8,6009219.5
    Trevor Cahill (R)v TEX184.022.810.112.71.134.211.37$7,700$6,60010024.7
    Mike Clevinger (R)at TOR298.026.19.616.60.943.111.21$11,800$10,10010621.8
    Zach Davies (R)v SF 239.315.87.18.71.024.101.36$6,900$6,9008423.4
    Chase De Jong (R)v KC 28.310.410.40.01.596.351.55$5,100$5,5008921.3
    Jacob deGrom (R)v PHI389.330.06.523.60.862.641.08$13,500$11,80010124.6
    Erick Fedde (R)v CHC48.318.88.710.12.057.081.76$5,200$5,80010420.7
    Michael Fulmer (R)v STL290.718.26.911.30.934.151.22$7,600$6,7009921.7
    John Gant (R)at DET113.318.911.67.30.873.411.28$8,000$7,1008022.5
    Andrew Heaney (L)at CWS179.723.26.516.71.654.511.25$8,400$8,2009826.4
    Rich Hill (L)at COL244.328.48.519.91.293.501.15$7,800$7,9009521.4
    Ian Kennedy (R)at MIN248.720.48.911.51.885.281.37$5,800$6,3009521.9
    Dallas Keuchel (L)at BOS325.319.46.912.50.863.211.19$9,0009121.9
    Reynaldo Lopez (R)v LAA210.316.88.88.01.334.451.33$7,400$7,30011420.4
    Tyler Mahle (R)v SD 129.020.410.510.01.474.601.55$7,000$5,5008625.0
    Mike Montgomery (L)at WAS238.317.19.18.10.643.591.28$6,400$6,1009823.0
    Jacob Nix (R)at CIN26.09.96.33.60.694.851.31$5,100$5,90010020.7
    Thomas Pannone (L)v CLE17.717.35.312.01.024.581.13$5,000$5,7009819.8
    Rick Porcello (R)v HOU377.022.05.616.41.484.441.29$8,80010519.4
    Erasmo Ramirez (R)v NYY165.319.55.514.01.744.631.20$5,500$6,40010822.0
    Robbie Ray (L)v ATL259.332.211.420.81.353.401.24$11,000$9,20010720.7
    Josh Rogers (L)at TB 10.313.66.86.80.874.351.35$6,700$5,70010124.1
    CC Sabathia (L)at SEA283.320.28.012.21.183.621.29$8,300$7,7009420.0
    Jeffrey Springs (L)at OAK19.725.010.714.31.372.291.37$5,000$5,50010822.3
    Ryne Stanek (R)v BAL77.730.410.619.91.393.481.26$4,300$5,5008625.1
    Touki Toussaint (R)at ARI10.724.49.814.60.003.370.94$6,800$6,0008823.3
    Vince Velasquez (R)at NYM206.024.610.014.61.274.461.34$8,300$6,5009422.4
    Trevor Williams (R)v MIA299.017.58.19.40.873.611.24$9,000$8,4008222.1

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Tyler Anderson (L)v LAD22.26.815.41.320.32821.77.414.41.450.332
    Jeff Brigham (R)at PIT0.00.00.00.000.0000.00.00.00.000.000
    Madison Bumgarner (L)at MIL29.45.523.90.550.23823.46.417.01.190.291
    Trevor Cahill (R)v TEX22.511.610.90.810.30523.510.113.41.280.320
    Mike Clevinger (R)at TOR22.810.712.11.060.31827.09.717.30.930.291
    Zach Davies (R)v SF 17.48.39.11.140.33617.04.812.11.000.310
    Chase De Jong (R)v KC 9.79.70.01.350.37111.111.10.01.800.341
    Jacob deGrom (R)v PHI25.96.919.00.720.28530.75.824.91.000.270
    Erick Fedde (R)v CHC18.68.89.81.460.36915.88.47.42.890.476
    Michael Fulmer (R)v STL18.27.111.10.930.30119.66.113.50.890.292
    John Gant (R)at DET19.411.57.91.330.31920.99.411.50.690.297
    Andrew Heaney (L)at CWS22.83.719.10.220.25423.77.016.62.070.346
    Rich Hill (L)at COL20.210.69.70.950.30631.27.623.60.960.270
    Ian Kennedy (R)at MIN20.59.211.31.660.32722.07.814.21.780.333
    Dallas Keuchel (L)at BOS24.64.420.10.690.25518.57.511.01.010.309
    Reynaldo Lopez (R)v LAA16.110.55.61.480.31518.88.310.40.980.343
    Tyler Mahle (R)v SD 21.416.54.92.340.41719.54.714.80.760.291
    Mike Montgomery (L)at WAS19.38.610.80.620.27718.29.29.00.700.299
    Jacob Nix (R)at CIN6.54.32.20.900.34610.07.52.50.900.308
    Thomas Pannone (L)v CLE30.87.723.10.000.38410.26.14.11.500.291
    Rick Porcello (R)v HOU22.65.617.01.290.31120.94.316.71.250.308
    Erasmo Ramirez (R)v NYY18.08.49.62.130.37018.54.514.01.290.295
    Robbie Ray (L)v ATL35.35.529.81.080.27728.911.817.11.400.326
    Josh Rogers (L)at TB 0.00.00.00.000.0009.54.84.82.080.385
    CC Sabathia (L)at SEA23.710.613.00.940.29919.27.611.61.200.313
    Jeffrey Springs (L)at OAK25.08.316.71.690.38123.113.59.61.460.290
    Ryne Stanek (R)v BAL36.99.027.90.000.22726.612.014.62.400.359
    Touki Toussaint (R)at ARI8.38.30.00.000.13130.010.020.00.000.267
    Vince Velasquez (R)at NYM24.510.414.11.500.34726.98.418.61.220.309
    Trevor Williams (R)v MIA14.47.96.51.000.31720.48.412.10.950.299

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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