This article is part of our Oak's Corner series.
The Week That Was
After seeing Tommy Pham's late-season stint with the Rays and how much he ran (five of his 15 stolen bases came in September), I was excited about him in drafts this year as one of the better speed/power combo guys outside the first couple of rounds. He started the season really well with an average over .300 through the first two months, but hasn't been quite the same player since missing five games in early June with a lower leg issue.
Since the start of June, Pham does still have eight homers and seven steals, but is only hitting .237 in 232 plate appearances. Most concerning is that his hard hit rate, a strength of his last year, is under 36 percent in that stretch. In the first two months of the season, when Pham hit .300, the hard rate was at 50.9 percent, and that was after a 48.5 percent rate last year. He is still at a strong 43.3 percent on the season, but I'm definitely concerned about the last couple of months which are both under 40 percent. He still hits in a nice lineup spot, second for the Rays, but this recent downturn looks more like a lack of production than a lack of luck. I still like the skill set and love the strikeout rate under 20 percent, but with his dropping hard contact the last couple of months, I cannot recommend him as someone to go out and trade