Alex Avila
Alex Avila
32-Year-Old CatcherC
Minnesota Twins
2019 Fantasy Outlook
There was hope that the move to Arizona would provide a boost to Avila's value and make him a decent bargain in 2018. Oops. Avila maintained his willingness to accept walks, but cratered across the line and even a 16% walk rate could not pull his on-base percentage over the .300 mark. His strikeout rate was an abysmal 39% last year, marking the sixth consecutive season in which Avila has struck out in at least 30 percent of his plate appearances. At this point of his career, he is Adam Dunn without the homers at the plate but remains a solid defensive catcher behind the dish. His 2015-2017 seasons were good OBP seasons and he could do that again, so there is your silver lining if you are in a OBP league and must draft two catchers. In single catcher leagues, let someone else roster this risk. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#723
ADP
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$Agreed to a one-year, $4.25 million contract with the Twins in December of 2019.
Signs with Twins
CMinnesota Twins
December 6, 2019
Avila has agreed to a one-year, $4.25 million contract with Minnesota, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Avila should replace Jason Castro as the left-handed part of a platoon at catcher along with Mitch Garver. It's possible Garver gets more playing time this season after his 31-home run breakout season, but the Twins were careful to rest their catchers. Avila adds strong pitch framing skills to Minnesota's catcher corps. Avila's signing signals that Willians Astudillo will not win the outright backup job, but he could still be part of the mix.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
5
36
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+26%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+17%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+69%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .616 114 9 2 16 0 .214 .310 .306
Since 2017vs Right .775 697 67 28 77 1 .222 .360 .415
2019vs Left .681 36 3 1 7 0 .219 .306 .375
2019vs Right .795 165 19 8 17 1 .205 .364 .432
2018vs Left .668 34 2 1 2 0 .207 .324 .345
2018vs Right .592 200 11 6 18 0 .158 .295 .297
2017vs Left .519 44 4 0 7 0 .216 .302 .216
2017vs Right .876 332 37 14 42 0 .270 .398 .478
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+43%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .787 431 41 14 54 0 .245 .376 .411
Since 2017Away .713 380 35 16 39 1 .194 .327 .385
2019Home .896 100 14 5 17 0 .247 .390 .506
2019Away .654 101 8 4 7 1 .169 .317 .337
2018Home .495 118 2 1 6 0 .146 .297 .198
2018Away .710 116 11 6 14 0 .184 .302 .408
2017Home .896 213 25 8 31 0 .298 .413 .483
2017Away .750 163 16 6 18 0 .218 .352 .398
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Stat Review
How does Alex Avila compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.53
 
BB Rate
17.9%
 
K Rate
33.8%
 
BABIP
.287
 
ISO
.213
 
AVG
.207
 
OBP
.353
 
SLG
.421
 
OPS
.774
 
wOBA
.335
 
Exit Velocity
91.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
53.1%
 
Barrels/PA
8.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Avila had his best season at the plate since 2011, returning to the Tigers after a one-year stay with the White Sox to hit .274/.394/.475 over 77 games before a midseason trade to the Cubs. Once he was traded, Avila was a temporary starter in Chicago while Willson Contreras was on the DL, and while he continued to get on base at a steady clip in the second half (.369), his average (.239) and slugging percentage (.380) plummeted while his strikeout rate jumped to 35.7 percent. Now 31, and with a significant injury history that includes multiple concussions, Avila is ideally suited for part-time duty at catcher. He figures to lead a three-headed catching timeshare in Arizona after signing a two-year deal in January.
Avila's past few seasons have been like a broken record, as he consistently puts up meager numbers while battling a multitude of injuries. Last year was no different, as he was limited to 57 games on the season due to hamstring issues. The 29-year-old's time on the field wasn't great, either, as he batted just .213 while striking out a whopping 37.3 percent of the time. He continued to display excellent patience as his 18.2 percent walk rate suggests, but his contact rate sunk like a rock to a dreary 54 percent. Avila returned to the Tigers this offseason, inking a one-year deal. He has a bit of a niche as a left-handed-batting catcher, but given his injury history and declining production, Avila isn't worth consideration for a fantasy roster spot anymore.
Avila missed 49 games in 2015 because of a knee injury. By the time he returned, his starting role with the Tigers was gone and he found himself on the short side of a platoon with James McCann. His batting average, OBP and slugging percentage have been declining since his Silver Slugger season of 2011. But in 2015, Avila became a complete liability at the plate and finished with an abysmal .191/.339/.287 slash line. His .131 average against lefties made Mario Mendoza look like a stud. Simply put, Avila is a declining player with too many miles and injuries on the odometer. His best days are definitely behind him, and considering the White Sox gave Dioner Navarro $1.5 million more than they did Avila for one year, it seems likely Avila will play second fiddle.
While his path was different this time around, the final results of Avila’s most recent campaign were similar to past seasons. Avila struggled once again, hitting .218/.327/.359 with 11 home runs, 47 RBI and 44 runs in 124 games. His final line was almost identical to his 2013 output, albeit with an additional 60 at-bats in 2014. Unlike past seasons when Avila would have a second-half surge that would lead to optimism for his next campaign, the Tigers' catcher struggled throughout the entirety of the season. Despite playing over 120 games for just the second time in his career, Avila dealt with numerous injuries throughout the 2014 season, including a postseason concussion, which spurred conversation as to whether he should consider retirement. Avila was pronounced symptom-free shortly after the Tigers' postseason exit, and the team picked up his option for the 2015 campaign. Avila will open the season as the Tigers' primary backstop, but his lack of production and history with concussions could open the door for James McCann to earn a larger role.
Avila followed up his disappointing 2012 campaign with another lackluster showing in 2013. He finished the season hitting a career-low .227 with 11 homers and 47 RBI in 330 at-bats. The 27-year-old catcher saw a noticeable drop in plate discipline, as his BB/K ratio dropped from 0.59 to 0.39 and his contact rate dipped to a career-worst 66 percent. Minor injuries and a prolonged hitting slump in the first half of the season led to a drop in playing time, allowing Avila to appear in just 102 games – his lowest total since 2010. Despite seemingly hitting rock bottom in the first half of the season (.177/.279/.293), Avila was able to bounce back after the All-Star break. In 44 second-half games, Avila hit .303/.376/.500 with five homers and 26 RBI. At 27, Avila is seemingly just entering his prime, and his strong finish to the 2013 season hints that he could still revert back to the breakout form displayed during his All-Star campaign in 2011. He’s once again locked in as the Tigers’ primary catcher, which will lead to plenty of at-bats if he’s able to stay healthy.
Avila took a step back from his All-Star caliber play of 2011, hitting just .243/.352/.384 with nine homers and 48 RBI in 367 at-bats. Avila's drop in power from 19 homers to nine can be attributed to spike in his G/F ratio, which rose from 0.9 to 1.6. If Avila can start getting the ball in the air more, we should see a bounce back in power numbers from the 26-year-old backstop. Although he was not forced to miss significant time because of injury, Avila dealt with some knee problems that carried over from the second half of the 2011 season and a concussion. The minor injuries paired with his struggles at the plate resulted in backup former Gerald Laird seeing more action against left-handed pitching as the season progressed. The good news is Avila has not reported any health issues this offseason and should be the only proven veteran behind the plate for the Tigers, which means ample playing time going forward as Detroit plans to use Victor Martinez primarily at designated hitter. His struggles last season may have hurt his value for shallow mixed leagues that start just one catcher, but Avila should still be a factor in most formats.
The breakout many were expecting from Avila in 2010 came a year later. After a lackluster 2010 campaign, Avila emerged as one of the better hitting catchers in the majors last season. The Tigers brought in one-time mentor Gerald Laird to back up Avila, so he may lose a few at-bats to lefties, but that's probably for the best considering Avila was overworked and appeared worn down near the end of the 2011 season. The knee injury that slowed him late in the year didn't require surgery, and he's expected to be at full strength for spring training. At 25, Avila is one of the better young catchers in the league and has room to develop.
After a solid 29-game stint with the Tigers in 2009, Avila came into the 2010 season with high expectations. Unfortunately he struggled in his first full season, finishing with a .228/.316/.340 line in 294 at-bats while splitting time with Gerald Laird behind the plate. The Tigers brought in Victor Martinez this offseason, but the plan is to ride Avila as the team's No. 1 backstop, giving him the majority of starts against right-handed pitching. With that gig, Avila could eclipse 400-plus at-bats in his sophomore season. His struggles at the plate in 2010 will push away some suitors, but Avila has the skills to put up a decent average with some pop. He's worth a look in deep leagues and formats that start two catchers.
After brief stints with Low-A West Michigan and Double-A Erie the past two seasons, Avila saw a promotion to the big leagues in August last year. He filled in nicely as Gerald Laird’s backup, hitting .279/.375/.590 in 61 at-bats. The success he had during his callup has locked Avila in as the backup catcher for the start 2010 season. If Laird continues to struggle with the bat, the left-handed Avila could turn his role into more of a timeshare situation than the expected backup gig.
More Fantasy News
Scores lone run
CArizona Diamondbacks
September 13, 2019
Avila went 2-for-2 with a walk and a run scored in Thursday's 11-1 loss to the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks ninth homer
CArizona Diamondbacks
August 21, 2019
Avila went 1-for-3 with a solo home run Wednesday against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Jacks eighth homer
CArizona Diamondbacks
August 7, 2019
Avila went 2-for-3 with a home run, walk and three RBI in Tuesday's 8-4 win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Drives in three
CArizona Diamondbacks
August 4, 2019
Avila went 2-for-4 with a home run, a walk, three RBI and an additional run Saturday in the Diamondbacks' 18-7 win over the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Belts 100th career home run
CArizona Diamondbacks
July 21, 2019
Avila went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in Sunday's loss to Milwaukee.
ANALYSIS
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