Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
28-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Los Angeles Dodgers
2020 Fantasy Outlook
The Dodgers gave Pederson just 162 plate appearances against left-handers over the past three seasons. A trade to the Angels fell through in February, and the Dodgers are saying he will remain with the team, so expect Pederson to remain in a strict platoon role. With the new rules governing pitcher usage, Pederson stands to benefit a little bit as opposing managers will be reluctant to bring in a LOOGY with fewer than two outs. Pederson set a personal best with 36 homers, benefiting from the added-flight ball. His average exit velocity and launch angle were virtually the same as the prior year, but his average flyball distance was up seven feet, in line with the projected 5-to-10 feet of added distance from the reduction in drag. The caution is Pederson stands to suffer if MLB reverts to the 2018 version of the baseball. Assuming more is known about the ball in the spring, Pederson could be a target if it doesn't change, or potentially someone to avoid with the old ball. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $7.75 million contract with the Dodgers in February of 2020.
Recovery going well
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Hip
March 26, 2020
President of baseball operations Andrew Friedman said Pederson (hip) is essentially recovered from his hip and side injuries, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Hip and side soreness kept Pederson sidelined for all of Cactus League action, though he had reportedly resumed playing in minor-league games before spring training was suspended. As such, the outfielder isn't expected to be limited whenever play resumes.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
103
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+63%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+82%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+74%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .538 162 13 2 9 0 .199 .247 .291
Since 2017vs Right .875 1118 179 70 156 6 .246 .343 .533
2019vs Left .505 50 6 0 1 0 .224 .240 .265
2019vs Right .920 464 77 36 73 1 .252 .349 .571
2018vs Left .512 57 3 1 4 0 .170 .211 .302
2018vs Right .893 386 62 24 52 1 .260 .338 .556
2017vs Left .597 55 4 1 4 0 .204 .291 .306
2017vs Right .768 268 40 10 31 4 .214 .340 .429
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+34%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+19%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .875 620 99 45 95 2 .239 .332 .543
Since 2017Away .789 660 93 27 70 4 .240 .329 .460
2019Home 1.011 247 45 24 46 0 .270 .364 .647
2019Away .753 267 38 12 28 1 .230 .315 .438
2018Home .768 210 28 13 28 0 .220 .281 .487
2018Away .912 233 37 12 28 1 .275 .358 .554
2017Home .805 163 26 8 21 2 .216 .350 .455
2017Away .672 160 18 3 14 2 .209 .313 .360
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Stat Review
How does Joc Pederson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.45
 
BB Rate
9.7%
 
K Rate
21.6%
 
BABIP
.249
 
ISO
.289
 
AVG
.249
 
OBP
.339
 
SLG
.538
 
OPS
.876
 
wOBA
.377
 
Exit Velocity
91.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
45.2%
 
Barrels/PA
6.7%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joc Pederson
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Pederson enjoyed an offensive resurgence in 2018 after a disappointing 2017 season. The resurgence came from his power as he re-worked his swing to get more loft in his game. He improved his average launch angle from 10 degrees to 15 degrees year over year, while maintaining an already-solid exit velocity. The Dodgers do a good job of limiting Pederson's exposure to lefties since he has proven he can do little with them. The overall offensive rebound came from Pederson simply repeating what he did in 2016 against righties. The issue for him is that he has yet to put together back-to-back seasons of good production against righties. He has 20 or more home runs in three of the past four seasons against righties, but the .209, .269, .214, and .260 averages the past four seasons push or pull down his fantasy value in standard leagues. In OBP leagues, he still gets it done rather well.
2017 was an up-and-down year for Pederson. The outfielder hit .241/.361/.466 with nine homers in the first half before a .156/.253/.312 start to the second half led to his demotion to Triple-A Oklahoma City in the middle of August. His struggles continued for the remainder of the regular season (at Triple-A and with the Dodgers), and he finished out the second half with a .162/.278/.303 line in 43 games. Pederson turned things around in the postseason, however, hitting .304/.360/.826 with three homers in the final two series after being left off the NLDS roster. Most of his opportunities came against right-handed pitching last season due to his struggles against same-handed pitching, and given the depth that the Dodgers possess in the outfield, it's hard to see that changing in 2018. Still, he's a solid source of power late in drafts and is even more intriguing in leagues where OBP is used in place of batting average.
Plenty of questions awaited Pederson going into 2016, as the young outfielder had walked and homered his way into the 2015 All-Star Game, then struggled mightily in the second half. He acquitted himself well during his 2016 campaign, improving his contact rate from 66.7 percent to 75 percent. The latter figure is still below league average, but the Dodgers will certainly take it when bundled with Pederson's raw power. The improved contact led to fewer walks, but the extra hits made the change a net positive to his on-base percentage, along with improvements to batting average and slugging percentage. The Dodgers limited his exposure to lefties, as 399 of his 476 plate appearances came against right-handers. They could continue to do so in 2017, by platooning him with Trayce Thompson or Enrique Hernandez. Still, Pederson's power still gives him significant value, especially in leagues that use OBP in place of batting average.
A strong spring training both at the plate and in the field elevated Pederson to be the team's Opening Day center fielder, and he quickly rewarded the organization's confidence. Pederson hit .230/.364/.487 with 20 home runs before making the NL All-Star team and battling Todd Frazier in the Home Run Derby finals. From there Pederson hit just .178/.317/.300 with six homers after the break, ultimately losing playing time to Enrique Hernandez late in the season. Pederson has earned some Adam Dunn comparisons for his power as well as his propensity to take a walk (15.7-percent BB rate) and strike out (29.1 percent). He is unlikely to ever hit .300 given the strikeouts, but the power is real and he should show improvement in his sophomore campaign. Pederson should head to camp as the starting center fielder, but given his dismal second half, he's not a lock to keep the job through another prolonged slump.
The Dodgers' outfield depth kept Pederson at Triple-A for the bulk of 2014, even though he seemed ready to contribute at the big league level. Of some concern is that he struck out 26.9% of the time at Albuquerque, but Pederson has a good eye at the plate (100 walks, 18.1% BB%) and the combination of power and speed necessary to become a five-category star. He also showed significant improvement against lefties with the move from Double-A to Triple-A, striking out less against lefties than righties last season and posting a very similar batted ball profile in each split. Reaching the 30-30 plateau for the first time in his professional career at Triple-A, Pederson has nothing left to prove in the minors and should be on track to start in center field for the Dodgers on Opening Day.
Pederson solidified his status as arguably the organization's top position prospect, batting .278/.381/.497 for Double-A Chattanooga. That line included 22 home runs and 31 stolen bases to go with 70 walks. Pederson was considered for a 2013 callup at times, but his big league debut will instead likely come in 2014. The Dodgers have a crowded outfield, but Pederson's ability to play center field should get him a look at some point this season, a timetable that could move up if the front office finds a taker for one of the team's high-priced veterans currently on the roster.
Pederson was named the organization's 2012 minor league player of the year, as he broke out with a .313/.396/.516 performance for High-A Rancho Cucamonga. Pederson homered 18 times and stole 26 bases all while playing the entire year at age 20. The true test will come this year as Pederson makes the jump out of a hitter-friendly environment to Double-A where the pitching will be far more advanced. How he handles himself at the plate in 2013 will go a long way toward determining how we think about him long term, but 2012 was a step in the right direction.
More Fantasy News
Not yet throwing to bases
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Hip
March 12, 2020
Pederson (hip/side) has not resumed throwing to bases from the field, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could return to games next week
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Hip
March 11, 2020
Manager Dave Roberts said Pederson (hip/side) could return to Cactus League games next week, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing spring debut
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Hip
March 8, 2020
Pederson (side/hip) recorded five at-bats during a minor-league game Sunday, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Getting game action Sunday
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Hip
March 7, 2020
Pederson (side/hip) will play five innings in a minor-league game Sunday, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared for full workout
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Hip
March 6, 2020
Pederson (side/hip) has been cleared for a full workout Friday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
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