Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
26-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Cleveland Indians
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Despite missing three-plus weeks, Lindor posted numbers most would be envious of. The shortstop opened the season on the IL with calf and ankle injuries, debuting April 20. After sitting the opener of a doubleheader, Lindor didn't miss another game all season, recording his third straight 30-home run season and second consecutive 20-steal campaign. Lindor possesses one of the most consistent skill sets in the league, rating above average in nearly every category, glued together by an excellent contact rate. However, he's also more of a compiler than most fantasy studs since he doesn't pop in any specific category. This is where Lindor's durability comes into play since his volume elevates counting stats into the elite range. There's always a chance he incurs another injury like last season, but so could anyone. His combo of skills, consistency and durability put Lindor firmly in first-round consideration. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $17.5 million contract with the Indians in January of 2020.
Walks three times in win
SSCleveland Indians
September 26, 2020
Lindor went 0-for-2 with three walks, a run scored and a stolen base in a 4-3 win over the Pirates on Friday.
ANALYSIS
Mitch Keller struggled greatly with his command Friday and walked Lindor in each of his first three at-bats. The 26-year-old was able to score a run and was active on the basepaths with his sixth steal of the season. Lindor is having a down year in terms of his personal numbers at the plate but is still doing well overall as he's hitting .263/.341/.425 with eight home runs, 27 RBI and 30 runs scored in 58 games.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
35
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+23%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .865 490 79 17 49 16 .297 .378 .487
Since 2018vs Right .840 1170 181 61 144 37 .270 .329 .511
2020vs Left .743 66 5 0 4 1 .293 .364 .379
2020vs Right .773 195 25 8 23 5 .254 .333 .439
2019vs Left .775 223 38 8 24 8 .258 .341 .434
2019vs Right .893 431 63 24 50 14 .298 .333 .560
2018vs Left 1.006 201 36 9 21 7 .343 .423 .583
2018vs Right .821 544 93 29 71 18 .253 .325 .496
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2020
Even Split
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+17%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .883 810 140 37 95 22 .292 .361 .521
Since 2018Away .814 850 120 41 98 31 .264 .327 .488
2020Home .765 123 14 3 11 2 .269 .358 .407
2020Away .765 138 16 5 16 4 .260 .326 .439
2019Home .862 327 54 14 34 10 .289 .349 .513
2019Away .845 327 47 18 40 12 .280 .322 .523
2018Home .942 360 72 20 50 10 .304 .374 .567
2018Away .804 385 57 18 42 15 .251 .331 .474
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Stat Review
How does Francisco Lindor compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.59
 
BB Rate
9.0%
 
K Rate
15.4%
 
BABIP
.280
 
ISO
.157
 
AVG
.258
 
OBP
.335
 
SLG
.415
 
OPS
.750
 
wOBA
.329
 
Exit Velocity
82.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
30.5%
 
Barrels/PA
4.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Lindor has three full seasons in the majors, and has shown linear statistical improvement in nearly every category. In each of the past three seasons, his home runs, slugging percentage and RBI have increased year over year while his runs went from repeating to surging last season. He has shown a willingness to take his walks (9.4 BB%) and he puts bat to ball with consistency (14.4 K%). Lindor, teammate Jose Ramirez, Robinson Cano, and Nolan Arenado are the only players in recent seasons with at least 35 home runs and a strikeout rate no higher than 15%. His stolen-base attempts jumped from 18 in 2017 to 35 last season, but his success rate took a dive as he was caught 10 times, which may limit his ability to join Ramirez in the 30-30 club. The tools are all here for another outstanding offensive season even if continuing the statistical linear growth looks rather impossible given the level he has already achieved before his 25th birthday.
Lindor hit more homers last season (33) than he did in his first two seasons combined (27), but impressively, he did that without selling out at the plate to add pop as he accomplished that feat with the same strikeout rate (12.9 percent K%) and walk rate (8.3 percent BB%) that he had in 2016. The difference came from an increased ability to barrel up pitches, which Lindor did in 7.2 percent of his batted-ball events (4.1 percent in 2016). Somewhat surprisingly, Lindor's HR/FB rate wasn't through the roof (14.0 percent), he simply hit the ball in the air more often, improving his flyball rate from 28.4 percent to 42.4 percent last season. The flyball increase led to the drop in batting average, but the altered approach is a net positive for the Cleveland offense and to fantasy owners. Lindor was effective again as a basestealer, going 15-for-18 despite the increased power and a slight drop in OBP. The new level looks sustainable, making Lindor a top-25 fantasy player and potential MVP candidate.
The 23-year-old has quickly emerged as one of the best hitting shortstops in the game. He has utilized a steady contact-heavy approach to work counts and post a .306/.356/.454 career slash line in 1,122 plate appearances. As evidenced by his low strikeout rate (career 14.0 percent), Lindor seemingly understands that his game is more slash and dash right now than power, but he can still turn on a pitch and yank it out of the yard when a pitcher misses his spot (27 career long balls). In addition to the double-digit home-run pop, Lindor has shown an aptitude for stealing bases, going 31-for-38 over his first two seasons and reaping the benefits of manager Terry Francona's aggressive approach on the basepaths. Throw in the fact that he is split neutral and will continue to hit high in the lineup as he continues to fill out physically, and the sky is truly the limit for Lindor. He may add another level of power to come along to accentuate the high average, good speed, and run production, though it might not happen in 2017. Still, his floor already is lofty enough to put him within the top 50 fantasy picks.
Lindor's glovework helped solidify a shaky left side of the infield upon his callup to the big leagues in early June, but that was never in question. It was his ability to handle himself at the plate as a 21-year old that made him a viable Rookie of the Year candidate and a fantasy surprise in the second half of the season. Lindor had held his own in parts of two seasons at Triple-A Columbus, slashing .284/.350/.402 while sporting a nice BB:K ratio (25:38) in 59 games in 2015, but he took it to the next level once arriving in Cleveland. He posted a remarkable .835 OPS with 22 doubles, four triples and 12 homers in just 99 games for the Tribe and got better as the season wore on. His batting average was aided by a .348 BABIP, and that number might actually be somewhat sustainable given his speed and tendency to hit the ball on the ground (50.8% GB%), but that approach does not bode well for adding more power in 2016.
Cleveland chose to keep Lindor in the minor leagues for the entire 2014 season, despite a trade deadline deal that shipped Asdrubal Cabrera out of town. The move made sense, even if it may have disappointed baseball fans who have been waiting three-plus years to see the slick-fielding shortstop. Lindor has just 180 plate appearances at Triple-A under his belt, and his .273/.307/.388 slash line may look underwhelming. However, the “better in reality than fantasy” label that seems to stick to Lindor because of his elite defense does not do him justice. He hit 11 home runs with 28 steals in 126 games between Double-A and Triple-A, and he will debut in the big leagues this season as a 21-year-old. There is plenty of projection left in his bat, and his plus hit tool and speed combination should place him at the top of a big league lineup. He projects as an above-average offensive shortstop in his prime.
Lindor had another fine season splitting time between High-A Carolina (.306/.373/.410 with 20 steals in 83 games) and Double-A Akron (.289/.407/.395 with five steals in 21 games) before having his season cut short with a back injury. His glove makes him a fantastic prospect and he's certainly got plenty of time to add some pop to his bat, but it remains to be seen how much of a fantasy impact he will have, at least in that facet of his game. A lot of his value figures to hinge on his speed and power upside. Lindor offers good, albeit not great, speed and instincts on the basepaths and his power might eventually develop, but it's possible that he will peak as a 10-homer, 20-steal player with excellent defense at a premium position, offering a bit more to the Tribe in real-life value than to fantasy owners with his rotisserie contributions.
Lindor is easily the best prospect in the Indians organization and one of the top prospects in baseball, though much of his value comes from his work with the glove. He held his own at Low-A Lake County despite being just 18 years old. He's got a mature approach at the plate which might enable him to add some power to his game as he physically matures, but his bat may never be anything overly special. His ceiling may very well be that of a 10-homer, 15-steal guy at shortstop. Expect some growing pains at High-A Kinston this season.
The Indians selected Lindor with the eighth overall pick in the 2011 draft, and he was limited to just five games in the New York-Penn League as a 17-year-old last summer. Despite his age, Lindor already ranks as the top prospect in Cleveland's system. The switch-hitting shortstop should be a steady contact hitter and eventually develop some pop, while his plus-arm should lead him to become an above-average defensive player down the road.
More Fantasy News
Drives in four
SSCleveland Indians
September 16, 2020
Lindor went 3-for-4 with a home run, a double, a stolen base, a walk, four RBI and one run scored Tuesday against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Launches seventh homer
SSCleveland Indians
September 8, 2020
Lindor went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and a walk during Tuesday's loss to the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Tallies two hits, two runs
SSCleveland Indians
September 6, 2020
Lindor went 2-for-3 with a double, walk and two runs scored in Sunday's 4-1 win over the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Rattles off three hits
SSCleveland Indians
September 2, 2020
Lindor went 3-for-4 with a run scored and a double in Wednesday's 5-0 win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks sixth homer
SSCleveland Indians
September 1, 2020
Lindor went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run Tuesday against the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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