Daniel Vogelbach
Daniel Vogelbach
27-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Milwaukee Brewers
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Vogelbach had brief stints in the majors over the previous three years, but in 2019 he served as an everyday player for the Mariners and clubbed 30 home runs. He had a .208/.341/.439 slash line in 144 games, starting 49 at first base and 80 as the DH. Vogelbach had an .881 OPS with 21 homers in the first half, but he labored over the final few months of the year with a 32.3 K%. He also struggled against same-handed pitching (.270 wOBA vs. LHH, .355 wOBA vs. RHH). The 16.6 BB% kept him playable despite the poor average, so if he can keep that eye at the plate he shouldn't have a problem seeing playing time for the rebuilding Mariners. Vogelbach should have plenty of opportunities with Seattle in 2020 after making a name for himself last season, and at least should be able to serve in a strong-side platoon if his struggles against lefties continue. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#487
ADP
$Traded to the Blue Jays in August of 2020. Waived by the Blue Jays in September of 2020. Claimed off waivers by the Brewers in September of 2020.
Sitting against southpaw
1BMilwaukee Brewers
October 1, 2020
Vogelbach isn't in the lineup for Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series against the Dodgers on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
Vogelbach returned to the lineup Wednesday after dealing with a hamstring injury, but he'll retreat to the bench for Game 2 against left-hander Clayton Kershaw. Ryon Healy will serve as the designated hitter, but Vogelbach should be available off the bench as the Brewers attempt to stave off elimination.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
10
7
2
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+52%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+121%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+40%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+197%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .543 181 21 5 18 0 .143 .271 .273
Since 2018vs Right .826 611 77 35 86 0 .229 .357 .469
2020vs Left .350 12 1 0 1 0 .100 .250 .100
2020vs Right .773 120 15 6 14 0 .225 .342 .431
2019vs Left .602 146 18 5 17 0 .161 .288 .315
2019vs Right .844 412 55 25 59 0 .225 .359 .485
2018vs Left .274 23 2 0 0 0 .050 .174 .100
2018vs Right .815 79 7 4 13 0 .254 .367 .448
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+40%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+33%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .735 357 38 18 54 0 .201 .319 .416
Since 2018Away .783 420 57 21 49 0 .217 .352 .431
2020Home .856 59 8 4 11 0 .240 .356 .500
2020Away .610 58 5 1 3 0 .200 .310 .300
2019Home .733 259 26 12 40 0 .202 .324 .408
2019Away .822 299 47 18 36 0 .213 .355 .467
2018Home .574 39 4 2 3 0 .143 .231 .343
2018Away .766 63 5 2 10 0 .250 .381 .385
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Stat Review
How does Daniel Vogelbach compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.61
 
BB Rate
14.7%
 
K Rate
24.3%
 
BABIP
.237
 
ISO
.183
 
AVG
.209
 
OBP
.331
 
SLG
.391
 
OPS
.722
 
wOBA
.327
 
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
29.3%
 
Barrels/PA
6.6%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Daniel Vogelbach
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22 days ago
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22 days ago
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32 days ago
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AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
51 days ago
Erik Siegrist reviews another week of closer turmoil in the American League and thinks it might be time for Josh Staumont to shine in Kansas City.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Vogelbach broke camp with the Mariners thanks to an impressive spring training, and he saw regular playing time between first base and DH over the first month of the season while Nelson Cruz and Ryon Healy dealt with injuries. The 26-year-old failed to capitalize, hitting just .204/.317/.352 with a 33% strikeout rate in 63 plate appearances, and was sent back to the minors at the end of April. Vogelbach spent the rest of the season shuttling between Triple-A and the majors, excelling with Tacoma but struggling during his limited opportunities with the big club despite an improved approach (6:5 BB:K in his final 39 plate appearances). He continued to show platoon splits, posting a .274 OPS vs. lefties (.745 OPS against LHP at Triple-A). He's out of options and should finally get an extended look against big-league pitching this year, assuming the Mariners can unload Edwin Encarnacion to a contender.
For several years now there has been a push among fantasy owners to "Free Dan Vogelbach," but the reality that he may not fit on a big-league roster is finally starting to sink in. He simply can't play anywhere in the field, so he would need to get starts at DH, and in order for an MLB team to roster a designated hitter who can't play the field, that player would need to be a dominant hitter against big-league pitching. Vogelbach, who is entering his age-25 season, has proven to be at least 20 percent better than the average Triple-A hitter over 258 games at that level. But while he has plus power, it's not special power, and while the jolly lefty mashes righties, he is significantly worse against lefties. So we have a DH-only slugger who may need a platoon partner. That profile just isn't going to win over many modern front offices. Look for him to once again start the year at Triple-A, and keep in mind, he will be out of minor-league options after the 2018 season.
Opportunity is the prevailing force in rotisserie baseball, and now that he's out of Chicago, Vogelbach has a chance to work his way into fantasy prominence. Vogelbach was used sparingly down the stretch in 2016 after being traded to Seattle, but as a 23-year-old Vogelbach beat up on Triple-A pitching to the tune of a .923 OPS, 23 homers and 96 RBI while striking out just four more times (101) than he walked (97) in 563 plate appearances. Safeco Field still skews favorably for pitchers in terms of runs scored, but it was a top-six park for home runs in 2016, so even in a platoon role, Vogelbach could gain and maintain fantasy value outside of AL-only formats. He failed to earn a spot out of spring training but Vogelbach should at least be owned in most keeper leagues with a much clearer path to playing time than he had in Chicago.
Vogelbach came out of the gate on fire last year, slashing .460/.571/.780 with three home runs, 11 runs, 12 RBI, and 13 walks in his first 14 games for Double-A Tennessee. Unfortunately a couple of injuries - which may have sapped his power - slowed him down considerably, and his final line with the Smokies was rather disappointing. True, he'd be an asset in OBP leagues - he's topped 60 walks in each of his last three years - but most look at him and expect him to be a big power-hitting first baseman. He's still just 23, but with Anthony Rizzo blocking him in Chicago, we see a DH job in his future. Don't be surprised to see the Cubs trade him.
Vogelbach is the Cubs' top first baseman in the minors, but it would be a shock to see him overtake Anthony Rizzo as the starter at the big league level at any point. There are some appealing items in his skill set, as he can draw a walk and hit for some power, but he doesn't seem to have anything that truly stands out, and his defensive limitations might make him a future DH. He should spend most of the 2015 season with Double-A Tennessee as a 22-year-old, but unless Rizzo suffers a serious injury, Vogelbach could be trade bait, especially to an AL-team that values on-base percentage more than defense.
Vogelbach is not just some run-of-the-mill slugger. Last year's 73:89 BB:K ratio contributed to a .375 on-base percentage between Low-A Kane County and High-A Daytona. While he only hit 19 home runs in 483 at-bats, he's done all that as a 20-year-old, and certainly projects as a power hitter in the majors. Anthony Rizzo is blocking him at first base, but in two years, who knows? Tuck him away, especially in deep OBP leagues.
Drafted 68th overall in 2011 for his elite power, the 5-foot-11, 255-pound Vogelbach did not disappoint last year, slugging .686 in 102 rookie-ball at-bats and .608 in 143 Low-A ones. He also hit .324 and .322, respectively, at those stops and showed good plate discipline, to boot. Expect the 20-year-old Vogelbach to get a shot at High-A and perhaps Double-A this year, though so long as he remains in the Cubs organization, he's blocked by Anthony Rizzo at first base. Given Vogelbach's frame, we very much doubt a position change is an option.
More Fantasy News
Starting Game 1
1BMilwaukee Brewers
September 30, 2020
Vogelbach (hamstring) is starting Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series against the Dodgers on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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On wild-card roster
1BMilwaukee Brewers
Hamstring
September 30, 2020
Vogelbach (hamstring) will be on the Brewers' wild-card roster, freelance baseball writer Robert Murray reports.
ANALYSIS
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Still being evaluated
1BMilwaukee Brewers
Hamstring
September 28, 2020
Vogelbach (hamstring) is still being assessed ahead of Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series against the Dodgers on Wednesday, Tom Haudricourt of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with injury
1BMilwaukee Brewers
Hamstring
September 27, 2020
Vogelbach appeared to suffer a hamstring injury during Sunday's loss to the Cardinals but is expected to be ready for the postseason, Tom Haudricourt of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
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Homers Saturday
1BMilwaukee Brewers
September 27, 2020
Vogelbach went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in a 3-0 win over the Cardinals on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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