Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Minnesota Twins
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Buxton remains perhaps the most tantalizing and frustrating player in fantasy baseball. He showed growth with fewer strikeouts (career-low 23.1 K%) and increased power (.251 ISO) in 2019. Unfortunately, he once again missed significant time; he dealt with a wrist injury, a concussion, a sore back, a sore knee and finally a torn labrum in his left shoulder which prevented him from hitting after Aug. 1. While the wrist injury was a fluke, the result of a HBP, the other four were caused by him running into a wall or diving. A big part of Buxton's defensive value is his ability to make plays on balls few players can reach, so it may be hard to get him to dial back his aggressiveness. Buxton may be the fastest player in MLB, which results in supreme efficiency on the basepaths. He's got 30-40 potential, but needs to stay healthy. As long as he remains upright, he will be Minnesota's starting center fielder. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $3.075 million contract with the Twins in January of 2020, avoiding arbitration.
Would have made Opening Day
OFMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 27, 2020
Buxton (shoulder) would have been in the Opening Day lineup had the season started on time Thursday, manager Rocco Baldelli told Phil Miller of the Minneapolis Star Tribune. "Buck's rehab could not have gone smoother," Baldelli said. "Physically, mentally, he's in a tremendous spot."
ANALYSIS
Buxton underwent surgery on his torn labrum in September, which placed his availability for Opening Day in question. However, he would have been ready for Opening Day had it started on time. He now looks set to begin the season as Minnesota's starting center fielder whenever the MLB season begins.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
56
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
15
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+12%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+90%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .785 237 40 7 24 6 .278 .346 .439
Since 2017vs Right .702 663 85 19 77 42 .234 .284 .417
2019vs Left .923 68 16 3 11 1 .317 .368 .556
2019vs Right .798 227 32 7 35 13 .245 .298 .500
2018vs Left .222 19 1 0 0 0 .111 .111 .111
2018vs Right .422 75 7 0 4 5 .167 .200 .222
2017vs Left .792 150 23 4 13 5 .282 .365 .427
2017vs Right .701 361 46 12 38 24 .242 .293 .408
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .768 409 58 12 44 24 .261 .319 .449
Since 2017Away .686 491 67 14 57 24 .233 .285 .401
2019Home .853 118 17 4 21 6 .269 .325 .528
2019Away .810 177 31 6 25 8 .258 .307 .503
2018Home .426 49 7 0 1 3 .174 .208 .217
2018Away .337 45 1 0 3 2 .136 .156 .182
2017Home .798 242 34 8 22 15 .275 .339 .459
2017Away .665 269 35 8 29 14 .234 .292 .373
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Stat Review
How does Byron Buxton compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.28
 
BB Rate
6.4%
 
K Rate
23.1%
 
BABIP
.314
 
ISO
.251
 
AVG
.262
 
OBP
.314
 
SLG
.513
 
OPS
.827
 
wOBA
.354
 
Exit Velocity
90.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
35.4%
 
Barrels/PA
5.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Byron Buxton
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6 days ago
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18 days ago
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Bernie on the Scene: Social Distancing and Baseball
22 days ago
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22 days ago
22 days ago
Chris Liss bought a few injured players at a discount, figuring the delayed start to the season will give them time to heal.
RotoWire Roundtable: Updated Composite Rankings
24 days ago
Individual sets of fantasy baseball rankings by Jeff Erickson, Todd Zola, Clay Link and Erik Halterman are compiled into a top 300 composite ranking, with a two-week delay to the season factored in.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Buxton looked like a budding star in the second half of 2017 (.893 OPS, 11 HR), but followed that up with a lost year. He began last season by missing time with recurring migraines and played through a hairline fracture in his left big toe, which resulted in him being sent to the minors after hitting just .122 in 17 games. Then he missed several weeks with a wrist injury. When finally healthy, he hit .311 with three homers and a .901 OPS over 23 games, but Minnesota manipulated his service time and did not call him up in September. Buxton is the fastest player in baseball, which results in outstanding defense and supreme efficiency on the basepaths (34-for-35 on SB attempts over the past 168 games). He's been erratic at the plate, with stretches of promise and futility. His power/speed upside remains alluring entering his age-25 season, but he will need to make more consistent contact while avoiding injuries to have a shot at reaching that ceiling.
Buxton had epic struggles at the plate to begin last season, hitting .147 with a .433 OPS in the first month while striking out in 37 percent of his plate appearances. The Twins kept him in the lineup for his defense -- he was the top outfielder in baseball by most advanced metrics. Buxton completely changed his swing in May, dropping his leg kick and almost starting from scratch with some awkward initial at-bats. The radical changes helped as Buxton hit .300 with 11 home runs, an .893 OPS and a 27.6 percent strikeout rate after the All-Star break. Buxton may be the fastest player in the majors, which allows him to be supremely efficient on the basepaths, where he stole 29 bases on 30 attempts. Despite his second half renaissance, Buxton still has work to do with pitch recognition, which would lead to fewer strikeouts and more walks. Given his pedigree (No. 2 overall pick in 2012) and rare power-speed combo, Buxton’s upside appears unlimited entering his age-24 season.
Buxton was struggling through a second consecutive disappointing season in the majors before a strong September finish gave hope that the former top prospect may be ready to become a star. After hitting just .193 with one homer in his first 63 games in the majors, Buxton finished the season strong by batting .287 with 10 homers and a 1.011 OPS after he was called up again in September. He still needs to improve his low walk rate and terrible strikeout rate, but his power surge is likely for real as he hit 11 home runs with a .927 OPS at Triple-A. Buxton posses outstanding speed, which makes him a plus defender and should result in impact stolen-base totals if he can get on base more frequently. He's set to start in center field for the Twins and should get every chance to prove his September ascendance is for real.
Buxton began the season at Double-A and hit .283/.351/.489 with six home runs and 20 stolen bases in 59 games before he was called up to the majors in June. Just 11 games into his big league career, he landed on the DL after spraining his thumb. Buxton played 13 games at Triple-A after a long layoff and finally returned to the majors in mid-August. Given the job initially as Minnesota's starting center fielder, he struggled and had a part-time role in September. Buxton hit just .209 with a .576 OPS in the majors and looked overmatched as he was often lost and free swinging at the plate. He had an ugly 44:6 K:BB, a stark contrast to his minor league career where he showed impressive control of the strike zone. With Aaron Hicks out of the picture, Buxton appears destined to begin the season as Minnesota's starting center fielder, and there is still good reason to believe he'll be a five-tool star.
Buxton entered 2014 as the top prospect in baseball, but played just 31 games amid an injury-plagued season that set back his development a full year. Buxton suffered a pisotriquetral joint sprain in his left wrist in spring training and didn't begin his minor league season until May. After getting on the field at High-A Fort Myers, he aggravated the injury after just one week and proceeded to miss another two months. When he finally returned in July, he was quickly promoted to Double-A – where he suffered a season-ending concussion in a collision with a teammate in the outfield in his first game. He returned for the Arizona Fall League but didn't do much at the plate as he hit .263/.311/.298 before suffering yet another injury, a broken finger. None of Buxton's injuries are expected to be an issue in spring training, but his lack of playing time likely pushed back timetable for becoming the everyday center fielder for the Twins from 2015 to 2016. Further, his multitude of injuries – including a shoulder injury in the 2013 AFL – raise concerns that he's injury prone. However, his limited performance did nothing to dissuade analysts and scouts that he's still among the elite prospects in baseball. In 2013, he also showed impressive control of the strike zone, striking out in just 18.3% of his plate appearances, while drawing walks 13.2% of the time. Buxton's speed also results in outstanding defense in center field, and while his 12 home runs in 2013 weren't overly impressive, scouts expect him to develop more power as he grows. He'll likely begin 2015 at Double-A and the Twins will likely give him extended time in the minors to prove he can stay healthy. If everything goes well, he could push his way to Minnesota before the end of the season.
Buxton may be the best prospect in baseball after a season in which he displayed his five-tool talent, hitting .334/.424/.520 with 12 home runs and 55 stolen bases between Low-A and High-A. He began the season by hitting .341/.431/.559 for Low-A Beloit with 32 stolen bases in 68 games. He was then promoted to High-A Fort Myers, where he hit .326/.415/.472 with 23 stolen bases. Buxton, who is said to be the fastest player in the Twins' organization, led the entire minor leagues with 18 triples. He also showed impressive control of the strike zone, striking out in just 18 percent of his plate appearances, while drawing walks 13 percent of the time. Buxton's speed also results in outstanding defense in center field, and while his 12 home runs last season weren't overly impressive, scouts expect him to develop more power as he grows. His performance is more impressive since he did it at just age 19, as few players that young have posted an OPS of .990 in the pitcher-friendly Low-A Midwest League. He quickly drew comparisons to Mike Trout, who displayed similar numbers while playing for Low-A Cedar Rapids in his age-19 season (Trout hit .362/.454/.526 with six home runs in 81 games), and last season Buxton drew praise from many scouts who put him on par with Trout or even said he was the best player they had ever seen. Although Minnesota is typically slow to rush prospects through the system, they'll likely make an exception for Buxton. He'll begin the season at Double-A, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him entrenched as Minnesota's starting center fielder as early as June.
The No. 2 overall pick in the 2012 draft has the potential to develop into a top-notch, five-tool player for the Twins. He hit just .248 with a .792 OPS in 48 games between two levels of rookie ball, but showed promising signs by hitting five home runs and drawing walks in 10 percent of his plate appearances. He is also said to have the best speed in the organization. Buxton is far away from the majors at age 19 and the Twins do not rush prospects, but he could quickly climb to the top of Minnesota's prospect lists.
More Fantasy News
Getting healthy during shutdown
OFMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 20, 2020
Buxton (shoulder) figures to be fully healthy by the time play resumes, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Normal soreness after workout
OFMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 11, 2020
Buxton will work out Thursday but not hit, and then face live pitching again on Friday, La Velle E. Neal of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports. He reported normal soreness in his surgically-repaired shoulder after he took his first live batting practice session of the spring Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Takes live batting practice
OFMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 10, 2020
Buxton (shoulder) took his first live batting practice session of the spring Tuesday and reported no issues, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scheduled to hit Tuesday
OFMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 9, 2020
Buxton (shoulder) will take live batting practice Tuesday, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Close to live batting practice
OFMinnesota Twins
Shoulder
March 2, 2020
Buxton (shoulder) is close to participating in live batting practice in the next few days, MLB.com reports. "The recovery couldn't have really gone any better to this point," Twins manager Rocco Baldelli said. "That being said, we don't have it mapped out as far as when we're going to get him out there to play."
ANALYSIS
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