Max Fried
Max Fried
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2020 Fantasy Outlook
A strong spring coupled with injuries to Atlanta's rotation allowed Fried to break camp as the team's fifth starter and the lefty never looked back. He wound up making 30 starts and three relief appearances, finishing with 17 wins -- good for second most in the NL -- and 173 strikeouts across a career-high 165.2 innings. Much of Fried's success can be attributed to his improved control (2.6 BB/9) and updated repertoire; he ditched his changeup in favor of a slider that held opponents to a .240 wOBA, which he paired with his solid fastball and a curve which is one of the best in baseball. While his 4.02 ERA was unremarkable, the underlying numbers suggest Fried deserved better (3.72 FIP, 3.42 xFIP), as his batted-ball profile (53.6 GB% and 4.4 Barrel%) did not support his high home-run rate (1.1 HR/9). His team context is favorable and his rotation spot is safe; you're justified in getting aggressive. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Braves in March of 2017.
Throws BP on Friday
PAtlanta Braves
July 4, 2020
Fried threw a live batting practice session Friday, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The team will begin intrasquad scrimmages next week, but until then sessions like this will have to make do for the pitching staff. Fried is likely to be among the Atlanta arms on limited pitch counts to begin the season, which could make him a risky fantasy option the first couple turns through the rotation.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
74
Last 10 Games
51
Last 5 Games
24
How many pitches does Max Fried generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Max Fried generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .234 233 72 20 48 10 0 6
Since 2017vs Right .276 732 167 59 182 31 2 21
2019vs Left .231 158 45 10 33 7 0 4
2019vs Right .281 544 128 37 141 26 0 17
2018vs Left .226 39 16 6 7 1 0 2
2018vs Right .224 103 28 14 19 2 1 1
2017vs Left .258 36 11 4 8 2 0 0
2017vs Right .297 85 11 8 22 3 1 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-35%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-27%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.20 1.21 109.2 9 4 0 9.1 2.4 0.8
Since 2017Away 4.44 1.52 115.2 10 7 0 10.0 3.9 1.3
2019Home 3.21 1.16 87.0 9 3 0 9.1 1.8 0.8
2019Away 4.92 1.53 78.2 8 3 0 9.7 3.4 1.5
2018Home 2.40 1.27 15.0 0 1 0 10.2 5.4 0.6
2018Away 3.38 1.45 18.2 1 3 0 13.0 5.3 1.0
2017Home 4.70 1.70 7.2 0 0 0 7.0 3.5 1.2
2017Away 3.44 1.58 18.1 1 1 0 7.9 4.4 1.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Max Fried compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.68
 
K/9
9.4
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
93.9 mph
 
ERA
4.02
 
WHIP
1.33
 
BABIP
.342
 
GB/FB
2.82
 
Left On Base
73.6%
 
Exit Velocity
89.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.3%
 
Spin Rate
2302 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
39.0%
 
Swinging Strike
11.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Max Fried
The Z Files: Monitoring National League Camps
7 days ago
Todd Zola indicates what he'll be looking for in terms of news out of NL summer camps, where Dylan Carlson is one of a number of promising prospects with uncertain debut dates.
Rounding Third: Targeting Relievers for Wins
11 days ago
Ross Stripling heads the list of relievers to help you keep up in wins without sacrificing too much by avoiding shakier starting pitchers in the process.
RotoWire Roundtable: Rankings for 60-game Season
14 days ago
Four sets of individual fantasy baseball rankings are compiled into a Top 300 composite ranking for the upcoming 60-game MLB season.
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Six
31 days ago
Todd Zola breaks down roster management trends from last season's NFBC Main Event and notes that Lucas Giolito became a poster boy for exercising patience.
Farm Futures: Dynasty Rankings for Rebuilders
41 days ago
James Anderson provides top-300 dynasty rankings specifically geared toward rebuilding teams.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Fried put together a decent run with the Braves last year, but it was a small sample, and he worked primarily out of the bullpen with the big club (five starts in 14 total appearances). His larger body of work as a starter at Triple-A left something to be desired; Fried finished with a 4.61 ERA in his 13 starts for Gwinnett, though the underlying numbers were more encouraging (24.4 K%, 3.56 FIP). Even with those better peripherals, Fried was still seen as a long shot to break camp in the big-league rotation, but he did just that, beating out the likes of Touki Toussaint and Kyle Wright in spring training. The curveball is his best pitch, but Fried has also gained some steam on his fastball, now averaging 94 mph. A Tommy John survivor, Fried has maxed out at 118.2 innings and the team has made it clear that it will take measures to limit Fried's innings later in the season. How exactly the Braves go about doing that remains to be seen.
Fried debuted in the big-league rotation in September, but if he could have been developed on a perfect timetable, he may not have made his big-league debut until late 2018. Unfortunately, he missed significant developmental time in 2014 and 2015 recovering from Tommy John surgery, and needed to be added to the 40-man roster after 2016 -- when he spent the entire season at Low-A. This, coupled with the insane pitching depth in the Braves' system, accelerated his timetable, leading to an assignment to Double-A in 2017, skipping High-A altogether, and a brief two-start run at Triple-A before reaching the majors. Suffice to say, he is not quite ready to consistently get big-league hitters out. On the bright side, the 6-foot-4 southpaw has a two plus pitches in his fastball and curveball, and he figures to start the year at Triple-A, thanks to some veteran additions to the rotation. He still has No. 3 starter upside, but needs to improve his changeup and his command.
For the past two years, Fried has been more myth than substance, undoubtedly testing the patience of his dynasty league owners. He missed most of 2014 and all of 2015 due to Tommy John surgery. At 22, he was a couple years older than most of the high-end talent at Low-A, but that was his assignment, as he was closer to 19 or 20 in baseball years. Fried's repertoire, which features a low-to-mid-90s fastball, plus curveball and average changeup that flashes plus, proved too much for Low-A hitters to handle, leading to a 26.4 percent strikeout rate. As with most pitchers in their first year back from elbow surgery, Fried's command and feel took a while to return to form, but judging from his second half, he was back to resembling a future No. 3 starter by year's end. The 6-foot-4 southpaw notched a 3.26 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 52:11 K:BB in his final 38.2 innings.
Fried did not pitch in 2015 following Tommy John surgery in August of 2014. Drafted seventh overall out of high school in 2012, he was the centerpiece in the deal that sent Justin Upton to San Diego last winter. Before suffering the UCL injury, Fried mostly struggled between rookie ball and Low-A, but the results so far hardly matter as he was just 20 years old when he threw his last in-game pitch. Standing 6-foot-4 and 170 pounds, Fried features three pitches which project as average or better in time, with his low-to-mid 90s fastball and biting curveball both having the potential to be plus offerings, and he has shown a strong feel for a changeup as well. His command and control are still works in progress, and may be the last things that return to him following reconstructive elbow surgery (as is typical). The rebuilding Braves will be sure to monitor Fried's pitch counts and workload throughout the year, but if Fried can avoid any further elbow issues and even flash his potential in 2016, his prospect star will be back on the rise.
Fried experienced elbow soreness in February, and while it appeared as though he would be ready to contribute at High-A at some point during the season following rest and rehab, he tossed just 10.2 innings in 2014 before he was shut down in late July with the nagging injury. He underwent Tommy John surgery in August, which will likely table his development for the bulk of 2015, although it's possible that he will be far enough along in his rehab to log time in the Arizona Fall League or in winter ball. When the Padres drafted him ninth overall in 2012, Fried drew comps to Cole Hamels and Clayton Kershaw, boasting a low-90s fastball, a cutter, and an excellent curveball as a teenager. Traded to the Braves as part of the Justin Upton deal in December, Fried will continue his rehab with a new organization this season. The ceiling is high enough to consider stashing him away in dynasty leagues, even though it's now unlikely that he'll pitch in the big leagues before 2017.
Fried, the Padres' 2012 first-round pick, exhibited some control issues in his first full professional season at Low-A Fort Wayne, posting a 4.3 BB/9 over 23 starts (118.2 innings). Drafted out of high school, Fried is polished for his age and he offers an outstanding arsenal -- featuring an elite curveball and developing changeup as secondary offerings that he utilizes effectively off of his four-seam and two-seam fastballs. He's also a very projectable left-hander with a 6-foot-4 frame. The left-hander posted a shiny 2.09 GO/AO mark in his full-season debut, which offsets his 7.6 K/9, although he's expected to miss more bats as he continues to refine his stuff.
The seventh overall pick of the 2012 draft, Fried pitched only 17.2 innings in the Arizona Rookie League, before calling it a year. Scouts are most impressed by the lefty's command and his curveball. In 2013, expect Fried to be among the most heavily followed prospects in the Padres' system as he has the physical build and potential of an elite starting pitcher. Considering the possibility for a limited workload in his first full professional season, Fried may be held back at extended spring training before getting his first exposure to the Midwest League.
More Fantasy News
Innings limit likely early on
PAtlanta Braves
June 24, 2020
General manager Alex Anthopolous said Wednesday that the Braves will limit their starters to 2-to-4 innings their first couple times through the rotation, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Struggling with control
PAtlanta Braves
March 12, 2020
Fried gave up two hits and five walks over 4.2 scoreless innings in Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Twins. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Sharper in second start
PAtlanta Braves
March 1, 2020
Fried gave up three hits and two walks over 2.2 scoreless innings against the Rays on Saturday, Dawn Klemish of MLB.com reports. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Needed in bullpen
PAtlanta Braves
October 4, 2019
Fried is expected to pitch out of the bullpen for the remainder of the NLDS, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Tentatively scheduled for Game 4
PAtlanta Braves
October 2, 2019
Fried lines up to start Game 4 of the NLDS on Monday against the Cardinals, but the Braves may change their plans, Gabe Burns of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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