Adam Duvall
Adam Duvall
32-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Atlanta Braves
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Despite cracking 64 homers from 2016-17, Duvall opened the 2019 campaign with Triple-A Gwinnett following a poor spring. Though, to be fair, it wasn't just his spring numbers; Duvall had a terrible 2018, including a .132/.193/.151 line with Atlanta to end the 2018 season. Duvall righted the ship with the Stripers, finally earning a ticket back to the big leagues July 27. After a hot start, Duvall cooled and was optioned twice before coming up for good after rosters expanded. His .267/.315/.567 performance was a significant improvement over the previous season while bashing 42 homers combined suggests the power stroke is still there. Duvall's best pathway to playing time is on the small side of a platoon as his OPS facing left-handers since 2017 is .842, checking in at 1.130 last year, albeit in just 44 plate appearances. If Duvall wins a full-time job, he's worth a late flier. Otherwise he's NL-only fodder. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#592
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, $3.25 million contract with the Braves in January of 2020.
Cranks 15th home run
OFAtlanta Braves
September 16, 2020
Duvall went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Atlanta's 5-1 victory over the Orioles on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Duvall continued his impressive power surge and has now hit 10 home runs in his past 15 games, which has fueled a massive .862 slugging percentage. He finds himself in the top 10 percent of the league for expected slugging and top five percent for barrel percentage. Those metrics reasonably foreshadow some sustainability for his current tear.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
8
14
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+48%
OPS vs LHP
2018
Even Split
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .782 209 23 11 29 1 .235 .311 .471
Since 2018vs Right .730 502 71 28 82 1 .218 .281 .449
2020vs Left .848 39 6 2 6 0 .270 .308 .541
2020vs Right .942 115 23 12 25 0 .257 .313 .629
2019vs Left 1.130 44 6 4 8 0 .333 .386 .744
2019vs Right .761 86 11 6 11 0 .235 .279 .481
2018vs Left .637 126 11 5 15 1 .189 .286 .351
2018vs Right .639 301 37 10 46 1 .198 .269 .370
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+54%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .810 346 54 19 49 1 .235 .327 .483
Since 2018Away .685 365 40 20 62 1 .212 .255 .430
2020Home 1.133 72 18 7 17 0 .333 .403 .730
2020Away .738 82 11 7 14 0 .203 .232 .506
2019Home .928 49 8 4 7 0 .256 .347 .581
2019Away .855 81 9 6 12 0 .273 .296 .558
2018Home .680 225 28 8 25 1 .199 .298 .383
2018Away .593 202 20 7 36 1 .191 .248 .346
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Stat Review
How does Adam Duvall compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.24
 
BB Rate
6.6%
 
K Rate
26.9%
 
BABIP
.255
 
ISO
.340
 
AVG
.255
 
OBP
.311
 
SLG
.595
 
OPS
.906
 
wOBA
.391
 
Exit Velocity
84.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
39.0%
 
Barrels/PA
12.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Adam Duvall
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2 days ago
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5 days ago
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8 days ago
Mike Barner is rolling with a Braves stack Thursday against the Nationals, anchored by Ronald Acuna.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Duvall was unable to follow up on his back-to-back 30 homer seasons. His offensive production fell off considerably and he was eventually traded to Atlanta before the deadline for some bench depth. His overall skills were in line with recent seasons, but Duvall regressed quite a bit in 2018 against southpaws, hitting .186/.286/.351 in 126 plate appearances. That was in sharp contrast to the above-average seasons Duvall enjoyed against lefties in both 2016 and 2017. We don't know if the 2018 numbers reflect the new Duvall or if they will prove an outlier against the better work that he did the prior two years. Statcast data says Duvall's overall numbers underperformed given the quality of his contact. The Braves brought back Nick Markakis, and now Duvall will need an injury to avoid being a short-side platoon player to begin 2019.
After being a pleasant surprise from the Mike Leake trade, many thought that Duvall would have difficulty repeating his 2016 breakout performance. However, that's essentially what Duvall did in 2017, reprising nearly the same output in all five standard categories. It appeared that he might even exceed his 2016 production, but a September collapse (.218/.284/.276 with no homers in his last 30 games) prevented that. The dilemma for the Reds is whether his low-OBP, good-power level is good enough when the team is ready to contend. Between Duvall, Billy Hamilton and Scott Schebler, they have three outfielders that are good at some aspects of the game but lacking in others -- all while Jesse Winker and Nick Senzel are knocking at the door to find playing time. The guess here is that Duvall will maintain his level and playing time for one more year, but when he starts to become more expensive the Reds will find better alternatives.
Duvall's power long made him an intriguing player in the Giants' organization, but prior to last season, he was never on the field for more than 27 big league games in a season. The Reds, in need of offense and help in left field, had little difficulty finding playing time for Duvall in 2016, and he turned 608 plate appearances into a .241/.297/.498 line with 33 homers and 103 RBI. As the season progressed, Duvall showed improvement in his plate discipline, lowering his strikeout rate from 29.0 percent before the All-Star break to 24.6 percent thereafter, and pushing his walk rate from 4.9 percent to 8.8 percent during that span. With a better eye at the plate, however, he offered less pop, slugging .434 in the second half after toting a .551 mark in the first half. Duvall should reprise his role as the Reds' regular left fielder to begin 2017, where he may end up competing for at-bats with Scott Schebler once Jesse Winker becomes a fixture in the lineup.
Duvall has always had tremendous power, but his ability to control the strike zone has been sub-optimal. His brief big league trial with the Reds after he arrived in the Mike Leake trade demonstrated both of those qualities. He homered five times and had a .265 ISO in 72 plate appearances, but he also struck out 36 percent of the time. He could fit in one of two openings for the Reds in 2016 — either in left field where he played last year, or third base in the wake of the Todd Frazier trade. It's possible that he reaches 20 homers and hits .210 in the process.
It is tough to overlook a corner infielder that owns a career slash line of .269/.345/.501 in the minors and hit .298/.360/.599 last season, but you should. Duvall thrived in the Pacific Coast League last season as he did two seasons ago in the California League when he hit 30 home runs. He has 100 minor league home runs in 500 games, but is 26 and has seen just 77 plate appearances in the big leagues. He did hit three home runs last season in that time, but also struck out 20 times. His minor-league splits show someone who hits better against lefties but does not embarrass himself against righties. He is not a prospect, but players who show pop tend to get their chances, and Duvall’s future as a backup to the corners will hinge upon his ability to make more contact the second time around.
More Fantasy News
Homers again Sunday
OFAtlanta Braves
September 13, 2020
Duvall went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run and one strikeout in Sunday's win against the Nationals.
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Enjoys historic day at plate
OFAtlanta Braves
September 10, 2020
Duvall went 3-for-4 with three home runs, nine RBI, five runs scored and two walks Wednesday in the Braves' 29-9 victory over the Marlins.
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Clubs pinch-hit homer
OFAtlanta Braves
September 7, 2020
Duvall hit a solo home run in his only at-bat Monday against the Marlins.
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Heads to bench
OFAtlanta Braves
September 7, 2020
Duvall is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs ninth homer
OFAtlanta Braves
September 5, 2020
Duvall went 2-for-4 with a double and a solo home run Saturday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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