Hunter Renfroe
Hunter Renfroe
28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Tampa Bay Rays
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Renfroe's 2019 campaign was a drastic contrast between two halves. He cracked 27 home runs before the All-Star break, tied for fifth in the majors. The second half was a different story, however, as he hit a paltry .161 and swatted only six long balls. Injuries played a major part in his slide; he was dogged with various ailments throughout the latter part of the season. His 31.2 K% and 71.4% contact rate were both far below league average, yet he posted the highest walk rate (9.3%) and ISO (.273) of his career. This offseason, the Rays shipped Tommy Pham and a good prospect to San Diego for Renfroe and a great prospect. Part of the real-life appeal is that he was worth 22 defensive runs saved last year (elite) and can play all three outfield spots. His career splits (139 wRC+ against LHP, 90 wRC+ against RHP) could lead to the platoon-happy Rays handing Renfroe his fewest PA since his rookie season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#259
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, $3.3 million contract with the Rays in January of 2020.
Goes yard twice
OFTampa Bay Rays
August 13, 2020
Renfroe went 3-for-6 with two home runs, a double, three RBI and three runs scored Thursday against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
Renfroe was a big part of the Rays' offensive onslaught against the Red Sox, contributing his third and fourth home runs of the season. The first was a two-run shot in the third inning, followed by a solo long ball in the sixth frame. Prior to this effort, Renfroe had gone 12 games without a homer, recording just three extra-base hits in the at span. Overall, he's hitting just .200/.302/.491 across 63 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
4
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+80%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .824 331 39 20 42 3 .236 .317 .507
Since 2018vs Right .771 671 86 43 105 4 .225 .283 .488
2020vs Left .497 27 2 1 3 0 .095 .259 .238
2020vs Right .895 40 6 3 12 0 .243 .300 .595
2019vs Left .906 133 20 11 19 1 .239 .331 .575
2019vs Right .733 361 44 22 45 4 .208 .274 .459
2018vs Left .809 171 17 8 20 2 .253 .316 .494
2018vs Right .803 270 36 18 48 0 .245 .293 .510
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .805 457 64 29 70 1 .218 .306 .499
Since 2018Away .774 545 61 34 77 6 .237 .284 .490
2020Home .756 33 5 2 6 0 .154 .333 .423
2020Away .735 34 3 2 9 0 .219 .235 .500
2019Home .750 214 28 14 29 1 .193 .285 .465
2019Away .799 280 36 19 35 4 .233 .293 .506
2018Home .867 210 31 13 35 0 .253 .324 .543
2018Away .751 231 22 13 33 2 .244 .281 .470
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Stat Review
How does Hunter Renfroe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.50
 
BB Rate
11.9%
 
K Rate
23.9%
 
BABIP
.179
 
ISO
.276
 
AVG
.190
 
OBP
.284
 
SLG
.466
 
OPS
.749
 
wOBA
.323
 
Exit Velocity
83.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
41.9%
 
Barrels/PA
6.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Hunter Renfroe
FanDuel MLB: Thursday Targets
2 days ago
Kevin Payne checks out Thursday's short slate and thinks a Tampa stack, including Hunter Renfroe, is a strong play against debuting southpaw Kyle Hart.
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
6 days ago
Pete Alonso may be underperforming to start the season, but Erik Halterman says you should select him against Pablo Lopez and the Marlins.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
18 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's main slate and thinks Pete Alonso and the Mets could feast on the back end of a shaky Boston rotation.
Bernie on the Scene: 10 Players to Avoid
26 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes 10 players he's staying away from this season, including Rays outfielder Kevin Kiermaier.
RotoWire Roundtable: Updated Rankings for 60-game Season
35 days ago
Our rankers are back for the second installment of the Roundtable for the 60-game season. How are they handling Mike Trout for the time being?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
The 2018 version of Renfroe was, in many ways, much like the 2017 version. The home-run and run production look almost like mirror images, but there were some gains below the surface. Renfroe cut down on the swing and miss while increasing his Isolated Power and overall offensive production. Eighteen of his 26 home runs came against righties and he lifted his .202/.244/.393 slash line against righties from 2017 to .245/.293/.510 in 2018. Do not buy into the “age 27” theory talk you may hear elsewhere as much as the fact Renfroe is heading into his third full season and has thus far shown tangible progress with his offensive profile. Thirty homers in 2019 looks like a foregone conclusion based on the trends, and we cannot rule out a push for 40 with more playing time and some HR/FB variance.
In the era of the three true outcomes, Renfroe is more of an either/or: strikeout or homer. As a 25-year-old rookie, Renfroe walked just 5.6 percent of the time after posting a 3.9 percent walk rate at Triple-A El Paso in 2016 (22 walks in 563 plate appearances). The power is real, but it isn't quite elite -- Renfroe had a 7.1 Brls/PA, .467 xSLG and 24.2 xHR. Meanwhile, Renfroe chased roughly one-third of the pitches he saw out of the strike zone and fanned 29.2 percent of the time overall. He did most of his damage against lefties, struggling to an ugly .202/.244/.393 line against same-handed pitching. Making matters worse, Renfroe was also a net negative on defense. Players have to do more than one thing well to stick around at the big-league level, and right now, Renfroe is a one-dimensional player. He will have to compete for time in left field with Wil Myers moving to right.
Renfroe swatted a career-best 34 homers in 2016, with 30 of those long balls coming at Triple-A El Paso before a late-September call to San Diego. Considering the lack of power in the Padres' lineup throughout the season, it's somewhat surprising that he wasn't added to the mix sooner, but a second-half fade in the minors (.734 OPS) after a strong first half (.973) may have been the culprit. In addition to a drop-off in offensive production, Renfroe struck out at a much higher clip in the second half (20.4 strikeout percentage overall), and he failed to walk frequently throughout the season (3.9 walk percentage at Triple-A, 2.8 in 11 games with San Diego), raising questions about his eye and plate coverage. With plus power, Renfroe should have a place in the Padres' outfield to open 2017, but he possesses significant downside in the batting average department despite earning Pacific Coast League MVP honors at El Paso last season. In the late rounds of fantasy drafts, of course, reward outweighs risk when it comes to mashers of this potential caliber.
In two full seasons of professional baseball, Renfroe has two 20-homer seasons. After blasting 14 in the tough Double-A Texas League, Renfroe earned a late-season promotion to Triple-A El Paso, where he hit six home runs and posted a .333/.358/.633 line in 21 games. Renfroe’s raw power is his best tool, and it could get him to the majors early in 2016. The question will be if Renfroe can make enough contact to let his power sing. He has struck out 338 times in 1,421 professional plate appearances, a 23.8 percent strikeout rate. That has kept his minor league batting average down to .270 and will put an even lower ceiling on his major league batting average if he can’t improve. Renfroe hit just .250 in parts of two seasons at Double-A, a sign of the improvement he has to make before becoming a major leaguer.
Renfroe's 2014 campaign was split nearly evenly between High-A Lake Elsinore and Double-A San Antonio, but his numbers post promotion featured a .660 OPS after he punished Cal League pitching at a .935 clip. One particularly encouraging sign is that Renfroe showed improved plate discipline following the promotion, and it may not be long before he's ready to contribute in San Diego. Although he finished the season as RotoWire's 27th ranked prospect, Renfroe seems to get overlooked by some owners due to his future home park in San Diego. As a right-handed bat with pop to all fields, the cavernous nature of Petco Park won't be as damaging to his production as it is for left-handed hitters. Renfroe and Rymer Liriano appear to be the long-term future at the corner-outfield spots for the Padres, but the additions of Matt Kemp and Justin Upton in the offseason have clouded things a bit.
After leading Mississippi State to its first championship round at last year's College World Series, Renfroe immediately reported to short-season Eugene for a productive 25-game stay, before the Padres moved him to Low-A Fort Wayne to conclude the season. His batting line (.212/.268/.379) at the latter location left something to be desired, but in a small sample size, he still put up two home runs, five doubles, seven RBI, and six runs in 66 at-bats. Following spring training, the minor league ride of the 2013 first-round pick will likely start off in Fort Wayne.
More Fantasy News
Retreats to bench
OFTampa Bay Rays
August 12, 2020
Renfroe is not starting Wednesday against the Red Sox, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Monday
OFTampa Bay Rays
August 10, 2020
Renfroe isn't in the lineup Monday against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting evening game
OFTampa Bay Rays
August 8, 2020
Renfroe isn't in the lineup for the second game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Friday's lineup
OFTampa Bay Rays
August 7, 2020
Renfroe is out of the lineup Friday against the Yankees, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Keeps RBI coming in win
OFTampa Bay Rays
August 5, 2020
Renfroe went 1-for-4 with a two-run double in a win over the Red Sox on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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