Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Colorado Rockies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Among the bigger surprises in fantasy baseball last year, Freeland went on an extended run in which he seemingly threw six innings and picked up a win every time out. The peripheral numbers and ERA estimators don't paint as rosy a picture (12.2 K-BB%, 3.67 FIP), but keep in mind that he has beaten the publicly-available estimators at literally every single stop since he was drafted with the eighth overall pick in the 2014 first-year player draft. His familiarly with the Denver air -- he grew up there -- seems to help his cause. That may seem like a bunk narrative, but Freeland has posted better numbers at Coors Field than on the road in each of his two seasons. We like German Marquez's chances of sustaining his success more, but Freeland has good command and plenty of job security. Don't write off what he did in 2018 as a total fluke. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $565,000 contract with the Rockies in March of 2019.
Knocked around by New York
PColorado Rockies
July 19, 2019
Freeland (2-7) took the loss after giving up five runs on six hits and three walks while striking out six over four innings Friday against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
Freeland tossed two scoreless frames to start his day, but he found trouble later on, allowing a grand slam in the third inning. He would then give up his fifth run of the game in the fourth on a single to left field. The 26-year-old left-hander hasn't been able to find his groove since returning to the rotation, surrendering five runs in each of his last two outings.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-27%
BAA vs LHP
2017
Even Split
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .246 385 107 28 84 13 1 9
Since 2017vs Right .271 1460 231 133 350 58 15 42
2019vs Left .340 51 15 4 16 1 0 3
2019vs Right .289 262 43 24 67 10 7 14
2018vs Left .185 180 50 16 29 3 1 2
2018vs Right .255 664 123 54 153 23 5 15
2017vs Left .283 154 42 8 39 9 0 4
2017vs Right .284 534 65 55 130 25 3 13
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-1%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-40%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.04 1.37 213.2 17 13 0 7.2 3.2 1.1
Since 2017Away 4.08 1.42 212.0 13 12 0 7.0 3.6 1.0
2019Home 9.55 1.79 33.0 1 3 0 5.5 3.0 2.5
2019Away 5.77 1.51 34.1 1 4 0 10.0 4.5 2.1
2018Home 2.40 1.17 93.2 10 2 0 8.3 3.0 1.1
2018Away 3.23 1.31 108.2 7 5 0 7.2 3.2 0.5
2017Home 3.72 1.43 87.0 6 8 0 6.8 3.6 0.7
2017Away 4.57 1.57 69.0 5 3 0 5.3 3.7 1.3
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Stat Review
How does Kyle Freeland compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.07
 
K/9
7.8
 
BB/9
3.7
 
HR/9
2.3
 
Fastball
91.6 mph
 
ERA
7.62
 
WHIP
1.65
 
BABIP
.334
 
GB/FB
1.35
 
Left On Base
58.5%
 
Exit Velocity
88.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
9.3%
 
Spin Rate
2215 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
37.3%
 
Swinging Strike
10.9%
 
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Freeland
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Freeland managed to leverage a strong spring training performance into a major-league rotation spot and the results were generally encouraging. In 28 starts and five relief appearances -- the Rockies wanted to limit his workload -- the young southpaw posted a 4.10 ERA and 1.49 ERA. He faded a lot in the second half of the season, as his ERA and WHIP sat at the more respectable levels of 3.77 and 1.40 at the All-Star break. He's just 24 years old, so there's definitely potential for improvement in the coming years. From a fantasy perspective, his K:BB leaves a lot to be desired, but his groundball-heavy approach bodes well as he pitches in Colorado. Freeland appears to have the inside track to the final rotation spot heading into spring training.
Freeland has not quite lived up to expectations as a first-round pick in 2014, but he still may end up being a serviceable big-league hurler. The lefty is a groundball pitcher, which is particularly important since he will play his future home games in the thin air of Colorado. His control is also above-average, and he got stronger in that department as the season progressed; Freeland walked just 19 batters in 73.2 innings at Triple-A to finish the season. The limiting factor is his lack of strikeouts. Freeland managed just 108 strikeouts in 162 combined innings in 2016, and his strikeout rate was no better the season before at High-A. He may be given a chance to compete for a rotation spot in spring training, but Freeland will likely end up back at Triple-A to begin the campaign with the chance to appear in the big leagues as a reliever later in the season.
Freeland may have been out of sight and out of the minds of many for most of 2015, but there are reasons not to forget about the No. 8 pick in the 2014 draft. He has been sidelined for much of his professional career, first with shoulder fatigue, then following a procedure to remove bone chips in his elbow. However, he returned to the mound in late July, first for two starts at rookie ball, and then finishing with seven starts for High-A Modesto. A 4.05 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and 28:10 K:BB over 46.2 innings across both stops probably won’t excite dynasty league owners, and the lack of strikeouts are particularly concerning, but he gets a bit of pass considering it was his first game action in almost a year. Good size and athleticism should aid him in the upper levels, and if his stuff returns to where it was two years ago, Freeland could still reach his potential as a No. 3 starter.
Following a dazzling junior year at the University of Evansville, Freeland was selected eighth overall by the Rockies in the 2014 first-year player draft. The Rockies made quick work in signing the left-hander, who debuted with their rookie club in July before finishing the season with five starts at Low-A Asheville, where he gave up just two runs and struck out 18 batters over 21.2 innings. The Rockies intentionally capped his pitch counts due to the high number of innings he had thrown for Evansville in the spring, but he’ll be on tap for a full workload in 2015, perhaps opening the season a level up in the California League. The 21-year-old doesn’t have overpowering stuff, but does an excellent job of painting the strike zone with his low-90s fastball, low-80s slider and an improving changeup. His early success has been encouraging and could allow him to rise through the Rockies’ system quickly, but he’ll first need to prove himself against the competition in the upper minors before receiving a big-league shot.
More Fantasy News
Rough return to rotation
PColorado Rockies
July 14, 2019
Freeland didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 17-9 loss to the Reds, giving up five runs on nine hits over four innings while striking out three.
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Called up ahead of start
PColorado Rockies
July 13, 2019
Freeland was called up to start Saturday against the Reds, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
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Returning to big leagues
PColorado Rockies
July 11, 2019
Freeland will be promoted to start Saturday against Cincinnati, Kyle Newman of The Denver Post reports.
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Blasted at Triple-A
PColorado Rockies
June 28, 2019
Freeland gave up 10 runs (nine earned) on 12 hits over 3.1 innings Friday, striking out five and walking three for Triple-A Albuquerque.
ANALYSIS
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Quality start in Triple-A
PColorado Rockies
June 17, 2019
Freeland gave up two earned runs on five hits over six innings, striking out three and walking one for Triple-A Albuquerque on Monday.
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