Triston McKenzie
Triston McKenzie
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cleveland Indians
2020 Fantasy Outlook
When McKenzie went down in early March with an upper-back strain, it was expected that he would be able to ramp back up in about six weeks. He never ended up pitching in a competitive setting in 2019. McKenzie also missed the first two months of 2018 with a forearm injury, so that leaves him with a total of 90.2 innings pitched over the past two years. The missed time obviously dings his shine, but the Indians were never going to lose McKenzie to the Rule 5 draft -- his addition to the 40-man roster in November was elementary. His fastball and curveball have both shown tremendous potential, McKenzie can change speeds and he gets good marks for command. The Indians will just be hoping for better health in 2020. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#597
ADP
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$Signed a $2.31 million contract with the Indians in 2015.
Good in short outing
PCleveland Indians
September 19, 2020
McKenzie pitched four innings Saturday, allowing one run on six hits and three walks in a 5-2 loss to the Tigers. He also struck out three.
ANALYSIS
McKenzie threw 79 pitches (48 for strikes) and had a 2-1 lead prior to getting pulled. Concern is rising in the baseball community about the health of the young stud, as he averaged a season-low fastball velocity of 90.6 on Saturday. Additionally, that figure has been declining in each of his six starts. It is a situation worth monitoring.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Triston McKenzie generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Triston McKenzie generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
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9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-36%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-36%
BAA vs RHP
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .235 54 13 2 12 4 0 3
Since 2018vs Right .151 60 23 7 8 0 0 3
2020vs Left .235 54 13 2 12 4 0 3
2020vs Right .151 60 23 7 8 0 0 3
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 3.27 0.64 11.0 1 0 0 13.9 1.6 1.6
Since 2018Away 3.93 1.20 18.1 1 1 0 9.3 3.4 2.0
2020Home 3.27 0.64 11.0 1 0 0 13.9 1.6 1.6
2020Away 3.93 1.20 18.1 1 1 0 9.3 3.4 2.0
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Triston McKenzie compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.00
 
K/9
11.0
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
92.8 mph
 
ERA
3.68
 
WHIP
0.99
 
BABIP
.231
 
GB/FB
1.00
 
Left On Base
82.5%
 
Exit Velocity
80.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.5%
 
Spin Rate
2241 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.8%
 
Swinging Strike
12.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Triston McKenzie
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Down the Stretch They Come
Yesterday
Todd Zola ranks the week's pitching as the season comes into the final stretch. What's that mean for aces like Gerrit Cole with the playoffs on tap?
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
7 days ago
The Yankees may be at home, but Justin Bramlette likes a number of Orioles' hitters to do well against J.A. Happ.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Last Call
8 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's staring pitching as the regular season comes down the stretch. This the last week to be relatively confident in two-start opportunities.
Mound Musings: What a Long, Strange Trip It’s Been
10 days ago
Brad Johnson reflects on the season so far and the impact it could have on future seasons, including the impact of up and coming potential aces like Toronto’s Nate Pearson.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Flourishing Freshmen
15 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as Cristian Javier is one of a handful of young hurlers with two starts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
There were some minor developments in 2018, but for the most part the story with McKenzie has not changed. No. 2/3 starter upside is still apparent and he is still capable of hiding behind a light pole. Forearm soreness sidelined him for the first two months, but once he built up his workload to 90-plus pitches on July 3, he was his dominant self over his final 11 starts (2.09 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 65 strikeouts in 64.2 innings). McKenzie's strikeout rate dipped below 32% (to 24%) for the first time since he was in short-season ball in 2016, but he threw a lot of strikes and held opposing batters to a .191 AVG. While his wiry 6-foot-5, 165-pound frame leaves many questioning whether he can handle a starter's workload, his length allows him to get excellent extension on his high-spin 92-94 mph fastball. He also boasts a plus curveball and improving changeup. The Indians have impressive rotation depth, but McKenzie will be waiting at Triple-A if a need arises.
On paper, McKenzie looks like a future frontline starter. His 186 strikeouts ranked second in the minors behind Alec Hansen, who is three years older than McKenzie and did a lot of his stat padding at Low-A. While he has a legitimate chance to actualize his No. 1 starter potential, McKenzie needs to add strength to his slender frame in order to maintain plus velocity on his fastball deep into outings. His curveball is a true putaway pitch, and his changeup shows signs of getting there as well. He also has a chance to have plus command by the time he reaches the majors, so there are a lot of future 60s on his scouting report. McKenzie will be inhaling calories this offseason in an attempt to show up to camp with a sturdier build. There are those who won't buy into his frontline potential until he shows it over a full season in the majors, and he is at least a year away from getting that opportunity.
It is hard to watch McKenzie pitch or look at his production relative to age and level and not get a little hyperbolic when projecting what he will be in five or six years. He pitches with a grace and precision that is uncommon for young pitchers with his long levers and high-end stuff. The fastball is more of a low-90s mph offering presently, but his 6-foot-5, 165-pound frame screams projection, and most evaluators anticipate a velocity jump as he matures. As with most 19-year-old hurlers, his changeup is still a work in progress, but his curveball is already a weapon, and both pitches have the potential to be plus offerings in time. Perhaps even more impressive than his arsenal is how well he harnesses it, surrendering just 62 hits and 25 walks through 95.1 innings of professional ball. He could spend most of his age-19 season pitching at High-A Lynchburg, and with another big year he will be poised to enter 2018 as one of the top five pitching prospects in the game.
More Fantasy News
Allows three homers in loss
PCleveland Indians
September 13, 2020
McKenzie (2-1) allowed five runs on three hits and a walk over 4.1 innings Sunday, striking out seven batters and taking the loss against Minnesota.
ANALYSIS
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Solid in no-decision
PCleveland Indians
September 8, 2020
McKenzie gave up three runs on three hits and one walk over five innings during Tuesday's loss to the Royals. He had seven strikeouts and didn't factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Shines in second win
PCleveland Indians
September 2, 2020
McKenzie (2-0) pitched six scoreless innings, allowing just three hits while striking out six in a win over the Royals on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Takes no-decision Friday
PCleveland Indians
August 28, 2020
McKenzie allowed two runs on three hits and three walks while striking out three in four innings Friday versus the Cardinals. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Earns another start
PCleveland Indians
August 24, 2020
Indians president of baseball operations Chris Antonetti confirmed Sunday that McKenzie will remain on the 28-man roster and receive another start this week, Mandy Bell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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