Nick Pivetta

Nick Pivetta

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Pivetta failed to win a starting job with the Phillies, so he began the 2020 season as a reliever. Through three appearances, Pivetta was sporting a 15.88 ERA and 1.94 WHIP with three homers and just four whiffs in 5.2 innings. The struggles prompted Pivetta to lose his roster spot before he was dealt to the Red Sox on Aug. 21. Pivetta was stretched out at Boston's alternate training facility as the Red Sox viewed him as a starter. Pivetta was recalled and made two starts, each lasting five frames with four hits and one earned run allowed. In those 10 innings, he fanned 13 with five walks. The results were enough for Pivetta to get a spring audition as a back-end starter in Boston's depleted rotation. Pivetta will be just 28 years old and the Red Sox are hoping he can rediscover the promising skills displayed in his first two seasons. Perhaps a change of scenery will help, but the wait-and-see approach is recommended. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#362
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2018. Traded to the Red Sox in August of 2020.
Lasts five innings in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
October 20, 2021
Pivetta allowed one run on two hits and two walks while striking out three in five innings during Tuesday's loss to the Astros in Game 4 of the ALCS. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Pivetta was effective in his first postseason start, with his only blemish coming via a solo home run in the top of the first inning. The right-hander threw 65 pitches (36 strikes) while allowing just four baserunners, but he was forced to settle for a no-decision since the Astros put together a late comeback. Across his first three playoff appearances, Pivetta has posted a 2.63 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 13.2 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
74
Last 5 Games
61
How many pitches does Nick Pivetta generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nick Pivetta generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-37%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .252 481 114 56 106 20 5 21
Since 2019vs Right .256 651 162 52 148 33 3 26
2021vs Left .233 262 69 31 53 10 1 9
2021vs Right .235 399 106 34 84 21 1 15
2020vs Left .412 18 5 1 7 1 1 2
2020vs Right .259 32 7 3 7 3 0 1
2019vs Left .261 201 40 24 46 9 3 10
2019vs Right .294 220 49 15 57 9 2 10
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-32%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-31%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-81%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 5.85 1.52 140.0 9 5 1 9.3 3.7 2.1
Since 2019Away 3.98 1.25 124.1 6 9 1 9.8 3.8 1.2
2021Home 5.40 1.45 73.1 4 2 0 10.1 3.8 2.1
2021Away 3.75 1.18 81.2 5 6 1 10.2 3.7 0.8
2020Home 9.28 1.69 10.2 1 0 0 10.1 3.4 2.5
2020Away 1.80 1.20 5.0 1 0 0 9.0 3.6 1.8
2019Home 5.79 1.59 56.0 4 3 1 8.2 3.5 1.9
2019Away 4.78 1.41 37.2 0 3 0 9.1 4.1 1.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nick Pivetta compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.69
 
K/9
10.2
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
94.8 mph
 
ERA
4.53
 
WHIP
1.30
 
BABIP
.301
 
GB/FB
0.99
 
Left On Base
72.4%
 
Exit Velocity
81.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.2%
 
Spin Rate
2360 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.7%
 
Swinging Strike
10.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nick Pivetta
Rounding Third: XFL Lessons Learned
32 days ago
Jeff Erickson reviews what went right and what went wrong in one of his quasi-dynasty leagues, the XFL, where he expects to contend this year.
The Z Files: Dissection of an Early Draft, Part Two
33 days ago
Todd Zola wraps up his first draft of the 2022 season and comes away with a fair amount of risk on the roster in upside plays like Andrew Vaughn.
MLB Betting: Tuesday's Best Bets
43 days ago
Michael Rathburn digs into the board for Tuesday's two-game slate and hunts for value from the Los Angeles-Atlanta game where the Dodgers are heavy home favorites in a must-win situation.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
43 days ago
Both Championship Series are in action Tuesday, and Mike Barner has your picks for emerging victorious in your DraftKings contest.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Championship Series Targets
43 days ago
Chris Bennett looks over Tuesday's two-game Championship Series slate and thinks that while the AL contest will likely feature more offense, Austin Riley is too hot to ignore.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2019 was supposed to be Pivetta's breakout campaign, as his underlying numbers suggested that a big improvement from his 4.77 ERA was coming. Unfortunately for those who bought into the hype, that didn't come close to happening. He was sent to the minors in mid-April after posting an 8.35 ERA in his first four starts and never really got things together even after returning in late May, posting a 4.66 ERA the rest of way. He lost his rotation spot for good in mid-July, spending the rest of the year in the bullpen. Pivetta's rough season was the product of his numbers falling off across the board. His BB% rose from 7.4% to 9.3%, while his formerly promising 27.1 K% plummeted to 21.1 K%. He also saw his HR/9 balloon to 1.92. The Phillies don't have much reason to bring the Canadian back into the rotation, and there's little reason to believe he'll suddenly become a relief ace.
Pivetta’s underlying numbers from his rookie campaign hinted at the possibility of improvement in 2018, and improvement did indeed come, with the righty cutting his ERA from an ugly 6.02 to a still-high 4.77. The story heading into 2019 is much the same, as Pivetta’s supporting statistics yet again suggest that he has the potential for more. He posted a strong 27.1% strikeout rate (13th-best among qualified starters) and a better-than-average 7.4% walk rate, leading to a solid 3.80 FIP. The problem for the Canadian remains the home-run ball. His career HR/FB remains a troubling 17%, well above the league average. If he can get that in line, he could develop into a workhorse that provides lots of strikeouts and a relatively low ERA. If the homer problem remains, he’ll do enough damage to fantasy owners’ ERAs to render him nothing more than a deep-league option despite the whiffs.
Pivetta was one of several young Phillies to be given a chance in the starting rotation, and like most of them, he struggled, putting up a 6.02 ERA in 133 innings. However, the underlying numbers suggest he deserved better. He struck out 9.5 batters per nine innings, well above the major-league average of 8.3 K/9, and his groundball percentage of 43.8 was right around the league average. His high ERA can be primarily attributed to a relatively high BABIP (.332) and a high HR/FB rate (18.2 percent), both of which can be expected to regress toward the mean next season. If the Phillies trust Pivetta's underlying numbers, he should be given a chance in the rotation again next year and could have more success. Still, he doesn't look like much more than a back-end starter long term.
More Fantasy News
Confirmed to start Game 4
PBoston Red Sox
October 18, 2021
Pivetta has officially been named the starting pitcher for Game 4 of the ALCS on Tuesday against Houston, Pete Abraham of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lined up for Game 4 start
PBoston Red Sox
October 18, 2021
Pivetta will start Game 4 of the ALCS against the Astros on Tuesday if he isn't needed out of the bullpen Monday, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Earns relief win Sunday
PBoston Red Sox
October 10, 2021
Pivetta (1-0) allowed three hits and a walk while striking out seven in four innings to earn the win against the Rays in Game 3 of the ALDS on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to start Game 4
PBoston Red Sox
October 9, 2021
Pivetta will likely start Game 4 of the ALDS against the Rays on Monday, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
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Earns save to secure playoff spot
PBoston Red Sox
October 3, 2021
Pivetta fired a perfect inning with one strikeout to earn the save in Sunday's 7-5 win over Washington.
ANALYSIS
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