Dinelson Lamet
Dinelson Lamet
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 2/1/2021
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Every offseason, someone gains helium to the point they're "so underrated, they're overrated." Lamet could be that guy, coming off his first action since missing 2018 rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. The right-hander debuted July 4 and fireworks ensued as Lamet fanned 105 in just 73 frames. His 33.6 K% would have ranked fourth among qualified starters if he pitched ample innings. Lamet's 9.6 BB% was high, though an improvement from his rookie season. While command was likely an issue, Lamet was also a bit unlucky as his 77th percent average exit velocity should have portended lower marks in BABIP (.311) and HR/FB (19.7%). There's little doubt Lamet has the stuff to be a difference maker and barring a complete breakdown, he'll break camp in the Padres' rotation. The key will be controlling his slider to complement his plus fastball and developing his changeup as a viable third pitch. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#130
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.3 million contract with the Padres in January of 2020.
Set to avoid offseason surgery
PSan Diego Padres
Elbow
October 14, 2020
Padres general manager A.J. Preller said Wednesday that Lamet (elbow) isn't expected to require offseason surgery, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Lamet and Mike Clevinger (elbow) both ended up finishing the Padres' playoff run in the training room, but the two starting pitchers are expected to treat their respective injuries with rest and rehab this winter rather than having to go under the knife. Before being left off the postseason roster for the wild-card and NLDS rounds, Lamet was at least able to throw off flat ground, so he's at least made progress on some level since exiting his final start Sept. 25 with the elbow injury. Expect Lamet to gradually ramp up his throwing program throughout the winter with the aim of being back to 100 percent for spring training.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Dinelson Lamet generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Dinelson Lamet generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
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9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
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8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
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Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2018
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .191 311 101 26 53 10 0 9
Since 2018vs Right .203 262 95 23 47 12 0 8
2020vs Left .132 143 49 12 17 1 0 3
2020vs Right .196 117 42 7 21 7 0 2
2019vs Left .242 168 52 14 36 9 0 6
2019vs Right .208 145 53 16 26 5 0 6
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-44%
ERA on Road
2018
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 3.32 1.06 84.0 3 3 0 12.1 3.0 1.0
Since 2018Away 2.79 1.07 58.0 3 3 0 13.2 3.4 1.2
2020Home 1.88 0.81 48.0 3 0 0 12.8 2.4 0.6
2020Away 2.57 0.95 21.0 0 1 0 10.7 3.0 0.9
2019Home 5.25 1.39 36.0 0 3 0 11.3 3.8 1.5
2019Away 2.92 1.14 37.0 3 2 0 14.6 3.6 1.5
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dinelson Lamet compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.65
 
K/9
12.1
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
97.1 mph
 
ERA
2.09
 
WHIP
0.86
 
BABIP
.251
 
GB/FB
1.06
 
Left On Base
78.8%
 
Exit Velocity
83.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.2%
 
Spin Rate
2549 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.5%
 
Swinging Strike
14.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
Lamet tantalized with his performance in 2017, making him a popular sleeper during draft season, but he did not end up throwing a single pitch in 2018. The right-hander left a March 25 spring training game with elbow discomfort, and while the Padres were initially hopeful that they would get him back in the rotation by May, Tommy John surgery was ultimately deemed necessary. There has been little from the team regarding his progress, but Lamet will likely be out until the summer months. The last time we saw Lamet in regular-season action, he was dominating right-handed batters while showing an impressive strikeout punch. His detractors wisely pointed to the lack of a third pitch -- he began throwing a curveball last spring before getting hurt -- and the heavy reliance on the slider. He's a big unknown after the long layoff and it's probably wise to just wait and see if he can A) return to full health and B) regain a similar level of effectiveness.
Lamet rode his high-90s fastball and wipeout slider to a 28.7 strikeout percentage in 2017, which ranked 12th among major-league pitchers with 100-plus innings. The 25-year-old only worked 49.2 Triple-A innings, so he lacks polish around the plate (4.3 BB/9 with the Padres, 3.8 in his minor-league career). It's also difficult to trust this lineup for run support. Even with these obstacles, he showed promise in the second half, sporting a 3.80 ERA with 84 strikeouts in 73.1 innings while giving up just 0.98 homers per nine innings, hinting he may be correcting that major issue. Developing a reliable third pitch -- his changeup or sinker -- might be Lamet's elixir for left-handed bats, who tagged him for a .364 wOBA. Petco Park provides a favorable environment for talented pitchers to develop, and cheap investments in flawed, strikeout-heavy arms often go a long way in fantasy.
This is an example of how scouting the stats can be dangerous. Lamet's minor league numbers last year, particularly his 91:31 K:BB in 74.1 innings at Double-A, would suggest he is a promising pitching prospect with the potential to make an impact in the big league rotation this season. He may make an impact in the majors in 2017, but it is unlikely to be as a successful starting pitcher. His command is shaky at best, and he lacks a third pitch. At 24 years old, it is hard to expect that third pitch to show up, leaving Lamet destined for relief. Of course, considering the lack of quality options in the big league rotation, he may be allowed to fail as a starter before the transition to the bullpen is made. Once in the bullpen, his fastball should sit in the mid-to-high-90s and his slider could serve as an out pitch, meaning a high-leverage role could be in store down the road.
More Fantasy News
Undergoing elbow treatment
PSan Diego Padres
Elbow
October 12, 2020
Lamet began platelet-rich plasma therapy on his right elbow Monday, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not cleared to return
PSan Diego Padres
Biceps
October 6, 2020
Lamet (biceps) did not make the Padres' NLDS roster.
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Looks unlikely for NLDS
PSan Diego Padres
Biceps
October 5, 2020
The Padres don't anticipate having Lamet (biceps) available for their NLDS matchup with the Dodgers that begins Tuesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.
ANALYSIS
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Viewed as day-to-day
PSan Diego Padres
Biceps
October 4, 2020
Padres manager Jayce Tingler said Lamet (biceps) remains day-to-day ahead of the team's divisional-round series with the Dodgers that begins Tuesday, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
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Omitted from wild-card roster
PSan Diego Padres
Biceps
September 30, 2020
Lamet (biceps) isn't included on the Padres' 28-man roster for the team's wild-card series with the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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