Nolan Jones
22-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Cleveland Indians AAA
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Jones has been at least 47% better than the average hitter in every full-season league he has played in while being young for each level. His 14.7 BB% was the fourth-best mark in the Eastern League, but it was the worst rate of Jones' career. Just based on where he hits the ball (evenly distributed to all fields) and how he hits it (a lot of linedrives and flyballs), his hit tool would rate as one of the best in the minors. However, strikeouts linger as the lone blemish. He has a career 26.7 K% and had a 29.9 K% at Double-A. Jones struggled to make contact in 15 games in the Arizona Fall League, hitting .200 with four HR and a 31:8 K:BB. Thumb surgery cut his AFL run short, but he is expected to be ready for spring training. Jones should become Cleveland's everyday third baseman in 2021, and will be either a big four-cat or big three-cat contributor, depending on whether it's an OBP or AVG league. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a $2.25 million contract with the Indians in July of 2016.
To train at alternate site
3BCleveland Indians  AAA
June 28, 2020
ANALYSIS
Jones is one of the Indians' best prospects and could be their everyday third baseman in the not-so-distant future. However, he had nine strikeouts in 19 plate appearances this spring and hit .200 with 31 strikeouts in 68 plate appearances in the Arizona Fall League, so he is not quite ready to hold his own against big-league pitching.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nolan Jones
Farm Futures: Ranking The Rookies 4.0
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
While no longer underrated in OBP dynasty leagues (walk rates between 16.2% and 20% at every pro stop), Jones is still under-appreciated among many who play in standard formats. He boasts an exquisite all-fields approach -- the last time more than 39% of his hits went to one third of the field was in rookie ball -- and still shows off his plus power in games. His 147 wRC+ ranked third among Midwest League hitters (min. 300 PA) and his 162 wRC+ ranked second among Carolina League hitters (min. 100 PA). At 6-foot-4 and roughly 195 pounds, he is a below-average runner, but has worked diligently on his defense at third base and should be able to stick at the position. Plenty of strikeouts (25.2 K%) come with all his walks and power production, but he doesn't swing and miss at an unmanageable clip. The Indians may send him to Double-A ahead of his 21st birthday in May, setting up a likely 2020 MLB debut.
The second youngest hitter in the New York-Penn League last year, Jones led the league in wRC+ (171) while ranking second in walk rate (16.2 percent) and sixth in BB/K (0.72). He has pedigree ($2.25 million bonus in 2016), great size (6-4, 185 pounds) and is a good athlete, although he is not much of a runner. He could handle right field or first base if he needs to move off third base down the road, but he is improving with the glove and won’t be moved anytime soon. Jones can work the count and hit to all fields -- an area he has really improved since entering pro ball. In 2016, 45.9 percent of his hits went to the pull side, but last year he cut that mark to 37.7 percent. He shows excellent plate coverage, and is more than willing to take what pitchers give him. With such an impressive foundation, it’s only a matter of time before his plus raw power starts regularly showing up in games.
Jones was expected to come off the board in the first round, but he fell to the Indians at No. 55. However, his $2.25 million bonus ranked 25th in the 2016 class, so he still got paid like a first rounder. At 6-foot-4, 185 pounds, he is still filling out, but should physically resemble a typical middle-of-the-order third baseman in time. A prep product from the Northeast (Pennsylvania) who won't turn 19 until May, it is not surprising that Jones struggled somewhat to adjust to pro pitching, but he still demonstrated a keen eye (17.2 percent walk rate) in the Arizona League. His initial lack of power production does not reflect his long-term projection, as many evaluators think his swing and physique will lead to plus power with an average or better hit tool at maturity. If his contact skills improve and he retains his awareness of the strike zone, all the traits are there for Jones to develop into a special hitter in four or five years.
More Fantasy News
Sent to minors camp
3BCleveland Indians  AAA
March 11, 2020
Jones was assigned to minor-league camp Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Joins major-league camp
3BCleveland Indians  AAA
February 24, 2020
Jones (thumb) was invited to the Indians' major-league spring training Monday as a non-roster invitee, Mandy Bell of MLB.com reports.
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Undergoes surgery
3BCleveland Indians  AAA
Thumb
October 24, 2019
Jones underwent surgery on his right thumb Wednesday, but hopes to be ready for the start of spring training, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Advancing to Double-A
3BCleveland Indians  AAA
July 6, 2019
Jones will be promoted to Double-A Akron following Sunday's Futures Game, Jordan Wolf of MiLB.com reports.
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On fire at High-A
3BCleveland Indians  AAA
August 23, 2018
Jones went 3-for-5 with a home run, double and four RBI in High-A Lynchburg's 7-6 win over Potomac on Wednesday.
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