Bobby Dalbec
25-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Boston Red Sox AAA
2020 Fantasy Outlook
A good prospect, yet a flawed one, Dalbec could be a plus defender at third base who hits for plus power, but he may not hit enough for those strengths to matter. He mastered Double-A (143 wRC+) in a return trip, but his version of mastering a level is a .234/.371/.454 line. His 15.5 BB% at Double-A is exactly what his OBP/points-league managers had in mind, but that mark shriveled to 4.1% in 30 games at Triple-A while his AVG jumped closer to his career .261 mark. A three-true-outcomes profile will work fine in real life, given his power and defense, but if his walk rate doesn't bounce back to at least 10%, there is little evidence he will be able to provide enough offensive value to occupy a corner-infield spot on a contending team. He is a better defender than Rafael Devers, but Devers may be so entrenched that Dalbec moves to first base (where his 70-grade arm would be wasted) or the outfield. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#584
ADP
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$Signed a contract with the Red Sox in July of 2016 that includes a $650,000 signing bonus.
Not on active roster
3BBoston Red Sox  AAA
July 23, 2020
Dalbec will practice at Boston's alternate camp, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Dalbec had an outside shot of making the 30-man roster, but the Red Sox opted to keep Rule 5 pick Jonathan Arauz.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bobby Dalbec
Farm Futures: Ranking The Rookies 4.0
24 days ago
James Anderson ranks the rookies based on expected value for 2020, and Athletics' southpaw A.J. Puk is the top pitching prospect on his board.
Farm Futures: Ranking the Rookies 3.0
34 days ago
James Anderson ranks the rookies based on expected value for 2020, and Yankees righty Clarke Schmidt is shooting up this third version of the list.
Farm Futures: Ranking Dilemmas: Prospects 126-150
104 days ago
James Anderson continues his series on prospect ranking dilemmas in the 126-150 range and considers why he might be too high on Red Sox slugger Bobby Dalbec.
Farm Futures: Ranking The Rookies
162 days ago
James Anderson ranks the rookies based on expected value for 2020, and Dodgers second baseman Gavin Lux is the cream of the crop.
Farm Futures: Third Base Tiers
183 days ago
James Anderson provides an overview of the top prospects at the hot corner, including Carter Kieboom of the Nationals.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2017
Position players get graded on five tools, but those tools do not count the same. Take Dalbec, whose power, arm and glove are at least 60-grade, and possibly 70-grade tools. But if he ends up with a 30-grade hit tool, those sixes and sevens may not matter. He has never been young for his level, yet his strikeout rate has never been below 31% in full-season ball, and was above 37% at Low-A and Double-A. He also led the Arizona Fall League with 32 strikeouts in 20 games. Prior to his promotion to Double-A, he at least paired those whiffs with a ton of walks, but his BB% fell from 14.3% at High-A to 4.8% at Double-A. Dalbec's swing is geared for the type of contact we want -- line drives and flyballs -- but he needs to make contact at an acceptable clip. One comp comes to mind, if we want to take a glass-half-full outlook: Matt Chapman. However, Chapman's contact rates were always slightly better, and his walk rate never plummeted like Dalbec's did in 2018.
Dalbec was a fourth-round draft pick out of the University of Arizona, where he played third base and pitched. On a positional track in the Red Sox's organization, Dalbec was Babe Ruth reincarnated last summer, bashing seven homers while hitting .386 with a 1.101 OPS in 34 games for short-season Lowell. So, how was it that a player with this much power potential, an anticipated first-rounder after mashing in the Cape Cod League during the summer of 2015, slipped to the fourth round? Dalbec slugged just .429 with seven homers while striking out 36.7 percent of the time in 68 games during his junior year at Arizona. The knock that he was an all-or-nothing hitter with a high K-rate. But something changed between the end of his junior year and his summer in Lowell. Dalbec went back to an open stance -- the same one used during the previous summer. His strikeout rate dropped to a manageable 25 percent, but the question remains if Dalbec can hit enough to overcome the strikeouts.
More Fantasy News
Cleared to return
3BBoston Red Sox  AAA
July 11, 2020
Dalbec (illness) was cleared to return to practice Saturday, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Tests positive for COVID-19
3BBoston Red Sox  AAA
Illness
July 7, 2020
Red Sox manager Ron Roenicke said Tuesday that Dalbec tested positive for COVID-19, Bill Koch of The Providence Journal reports.
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Not yet at camp
3BBoston Red Sox  AAA
Undisclosed
July 6, 2020
Red Sox manager Ron Roenicke said Monday that Dalbec has yet to take part in workouts at summer camp while he awaits the results of his COVID-19 test, Pete Abraham of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands spot in player pool
3BBoston Red Sox  AAA
June 30, 2020
Dalbec was added to the Red Sox's 60-man player pool Sunday.
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Likely has spot on 60-man roster
3BBoston Red Sox  AAA
June 26, 2020
Dalbec is expected to be named to Boston's 60-man roster pool, Christopher Smith of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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