Joey Lucchesi
Joey Lucchesi
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Lucchesi's sophomore season appears to be a carbon copy of his rookie campaign but it was a small step back. His strikeout rate fell from 26.5% to 23% while his walk rate increased from 7.9% to 8.2%. In 2018, Lucchesi posted a 4.08 ERA followed by a similar 4.18 mark last season. However, 2018's xFIP and SIERA were 3.45 and 3.64, respectively, in contrast to 2019's 4.36 and 4.48. By estimators, Lucchesi's 2019 ERA should have been almost a run higher than it was in his debut season. Lucchesi is still experimenting with his repertoire so don't count out a rebound. His staple is a 90-mph sinker. Last season, he cut back on his sinker and curve, adding a changeup that generated a promising 17.6% swinging-strike mark and low .235 BABIP. He has more success on pitches requiring less spin. Once he figures out the right combo, he could take the next step. In the meantime, Petco Park offers a safety net to stream. Read Past Outlooks
In competition for rotation spot
PSan Diego Padres
March 14, 2020
Lucchesi is being challenged by Cal Quantrill for the fifth spot in the Padres' rotation, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Though Lucchesi entered spring training with a firm grasp on a rotation spot, he has struggled in Cactus League play, posting an 11.57 ERA and 2.57 WHIP in three starts. That appears to have allowed both Garrett Richards and Zach Davies to leapfrog him in the pecking order, as both hurlers have enjoyed impressive springs. Quantrill has been dominant as well, resulting in the possibility of Lucchesi being the odd man out.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2018
2019 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Joey Lucchesi generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joey Lucchesi generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .231 272 70 25 55 9 0 5
Since 2017vs Right .245 962 233 74 214 45 6 41
2019vs Left .221 158 37 16 31 6 0 4
2019vs Right .236 528 121 40 113 26 3 19
2018vs Left .245 114 33 9 24 3 0 1
2018vs Right .256 434 112 34 101 19 3 22
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.22 1.20 170.1 13 9 0 9.4 3.5 1.2
Since 2017Away 5.40 1.33 123.1 5 10 0 9.2 2.4 1.7
2019Home 2.56 1.06 91.1 8 4 0 8.8 3.6 0.8
2019Away 6.22 1.42 72.1 2 6 0 8.6 2.4 1.9
2018Home 3.99 1.35 79.0 5 5 0 10.0 3.3 1.7
2018Away 4.24 1.20 51.0 3 4 0 10.1 2.5 1.4
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Joey Lucchesi compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.82
 
K/9
8.7
 
BB/9
3.1
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
90.2 mph
 
ERA
4.18
 
WHIP
1.22
 
BABIP
.285
 
GB/FB
1.49
 
Left On Base
72.7%
 
Exit Velocity
88.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.9%
 
Spin Rate
2178 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
36.7%
 
Swinging Strike
10.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joey Lucchesi
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Four
13 days ago
Todd Zola continues his breakdown of last year's NFBC Main Event rosters and explains why he thinks Christian Yelich showed up on so few league-winning squads.
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Three
16 days ago
Todd Zola continues his dive into NFBC Main Event data and finds that remarkably few of last year's successful squads invested early in a top closer like Kenley Jansen.
Regan's Rumblings: Delay Could Lead to Increased Values
64 days ago
Dave Regan is back with his annual column, and this week he writes about players who’s values might rise as a result of the delayed season, including Dodgers pitcher Julio Urias.
RotoWire Roundtable: Updated Composite Rankings
76 days ago
Individual sets of fantasy baseball rankings by Jeff Erickson, Todd Zola, Clay Link and Erik Halterman are compiled into a top 300 composite ranking, with a two-week delay to the season factored in.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL West
78 days ago
Brad Johnson analyzes the National League West, where in Colorado, German Marquez will be put to the test, when MLB play resumes.
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Deception is the name of the game with Lucchesi; the lefty has a funky delivery and arm slot. The 2016 fourth-round pick was a surprise addition to the rotation out of spring training and enjoyed quite a bit of initial success, posting a 3.23 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 48:15 K:BB over nine starts before a hip strain forced him to the disabled list. It ultimately became clear that the deception could only take Lucchesi so far. Once teams got a better scouting report, the results took a predictable turn for the worse (4.88 ERA, 1.37 WHIP after the break) even as he continued to miss bats at a steady clip. The 7.9% walk rate looks good, but his command is actually lacking in a major way; the emerging stats that attempt to judge a pitcher's intent all point to Lucchesi's command being bad. Right-handers combined for a .339 wOBA against Lucchesi and he had homer trouble at home and on the road. There are better fliers to take in the mid-to-late rounds.
More Fantasy News
Strong outing to close season
PSan Diego Padres
September 26, 2019
Lucchesi (10-10) allowed one earned run on three hits and two walks while striking out six across six innings to take the loss Thursday against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Fans seven in loss
PSan Diego Padres
September 19, 2019
Lucchesi (10-9) was charged with the loss against the Brewers on Thursday, lasting just four innings while allowing three runs on six hits and a pair of walks with seven strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
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Buried by Rockies
PSan Diego Padres
September 14, 2019
Lucchesi (10-8) took the loss Friday, coughing up eight runs on nine hits -- including three home runs -- over 3.2 innings as the Padres fell 10-8 to the Rockies. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Rockies for 10th win
PSan Diego Padres
September 8, 2019
Lucchesi (10-7) picked up the win in Saturday's 3-0 victory over the Rockies, giving up two hits and five walks over six scoreless innings while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Strong in no-decision
PSan Diego Padres
August 31, 2019
Lucchesi pitched six innings, allowing one run on eight hits and a walk while striking out three in a no-decision versus the Giants on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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