Francisco Alvarez
22-Year-Old
2024 Stats
AVG
.000
HR
0
RBI
0
R
0
SB
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez didn't break camp with the Mets, but he was called up a week into the season and became the regular backstop, catching two-thirds of the club's games, along with seven games as the designated hitters. Alvarez fanned 26 percent of the time, which was in range of his minor league track record. However, his walk rate was just eight percent, considerably lower than his minor league pedigree. An above average exit velocity on fly balls supported bashing 25 homers. However, Alvarez's .222 BABIP, along with an above average strikeout rate rendered him a batting average liability. Some of the low BABIP was an unusually low line drive rate, along with a low BABIP on grounders. Both should improve this season, but Alvarez's average will still likely be detrimental to a fantasy lineup. On the other hand, his power is real, and his run production should pick up as the Mets offense should improve. Alvarez's defense and framing were excellent, though he had trouble controlling the running game. Alvarez should be among the leaders in homers from catchers, just make sure you can absorb his low average. Read Past Outlooks
Goes yard Thursday
Alvarez went 1-for-2 with a two-run home run in Thursday's Grapefruit League game against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
The young catcher took Richard Bleier deep in the fifth inning for his second homer of the spring. Alvarez slugged 25 long balls in 2023 but hit only .209 with a 26.0 percent strikeout rate and an 8.0 percent walk rate, so improving his control over the strike zone will be key to him taking a step forward as a hitter. So far in camp he's done just that, going 3-for-12 over six games with a 4:2 BB:K.
The young catcher took Richard Bleier deep in the fifth inning for his second homer of the spring. Alvarez slugged 25 long balls in 2023 but hit only .209 with a 26.0 percent strikeout rate and an 8.0 percent walk rate, so improving his control over the strike zone will be key to him taking a step forward as a hitter. So far in camp he's done just that, going 3-for-12 over six games with a 4:2 BB:K.
Batting Stats
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2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+33%
OPS vs RHP
2024
No Stats
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .594 | 152 | 6 | 22 | .165 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .789 | 285 | 20 | 42 | .230 | ||||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023vs Left | .611 | 148 | 6 | 22 | .171 | ||||
2023vs Right | .777 | 275 | 19 | 41 | .229 | ||||
2022vs Left | .000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
2022vs Right | 1.150 | 10 | 1 | 1 | .250 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+5%
OPS on Road
2024
No Stats
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .705 | 213 | 10 | 30 | .207 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .739 | 224 | 16 | 34 | .209 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | .670 | 207 | 9 | 29 | .201 | ||||
2023Away | .768 | 216 | 16 | 34 | .217 | ||||
2022Home | 2.167 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .500 | ||||
2022Away | .000 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .000 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Francisco Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.31BB Rate
8.0%K Rate
26.0%BABIP
.222ISO
.228AVG
.209OBP
.284SLG
.437OPS
.721wOBA
.316Exit Velocity
90.1 mphHard Hit Rate
35.9%Barrels/PA
8.3%Expected BA
.209Expected SLG
.422Sprint Speed
23.3 ft/secGround Ball %
44.0%Line Drive %
13.2%Fly Ball %
42.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
No progress on extension
According to Will Sammon of The Athletic, Alvarez said Tuesday "there is nothing" in regard to contract talks with the Mets.
ANALYSIS
The young catcher is open to discussing an extension with the Mets, but the club has yet to kick off any negotiations. Alvarez won't be eligible for his first year of arbitration until 2026, and he has just 128 major-league games under his belt. He's locked in as New York's primary catcher for the foreseeable future after clubbing 25 homers as a rookie last year.
The young catcher is open to discussing an extension with the Mets, but the club has yet to kick off any negotiations. Alvarez won't be eligible for his first year of arbitration until 2026, and he has just 128 major-league games under his belt. He's locked in as New York's primary catcher for the foreseeable future after clubbing 25 homers as a rookie last year.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Generally considered a top-10 real-life prospect - although more divisive on fantasy rankings - Alvarez is best known for his impressive age-to-level advancement through the minors and huge raw power. He got his first MLB cup of coffee as a 20-year-old after slashing .260/.374/.510 with a 24.8 K%, 14.1 BB% and 36.3 Hard% across Double-A and Triple-A. Alvarez, who turned 21 in November, is well ahead of the typical catcher his age on the developmental path. He is also an oddity from a physical standpoint, as he is generously listed at 5-foot-10 and a similarly favorable 233 pounds. We've seen boxy catchers have success, but there's no denying he is a 20-grade athlete who figures to get even less agile over the coming years. His hard-hit data and in-game performance suggest he could hit double-digit homers as a rookie, but it seems like a neutral batting average would be a best-case scenario. He will always be more valuable in OBP leagues. Alvarez underwent ankle surgery in October but is expected to be ready to compete for the starting catcher job in spring training.
More Fantasy News
Recovered from heel injury
Alvarez (heel) felt better Monday and the Mets are unconcerned about the catcher's health going into the offseason, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Goes yard twice in nightcap
Alvarez went 2-for-3 with a walk, two home runs, a third run scored and six RBI in an 11-4 win over the Phillies during the second game of Saturday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
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Gets afternoon off
Alvarez will sit for the first half of Saturday's doubleheader against the Phillies, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting in nightcap
Alvarez isn't in the Mets' lineup for the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Marlins, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starting at catcher Tuesday
Alvarez (finger) is starting at catcher and batting seventh Tuesday versus Miami.
ANALYSIS
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