Brayan Bello

Brayan Bello

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Bello exhibited some improvement in his first full season, but he still has work to do if he wants to be a front of the rotation starter. He improved his control, but it came at the expense of strikeouts. Bello has the raw stuff to be more dominant, but he's yet to establish a third pitch to complement his sinker and outstanding changeup. Not only was his swinging strike percentage below average, but his called strike percentage was well below average, resulting in one of the lowest CSW% among pitchers throwing at least 150 innings. Bello has the arsenal to improve both swinging and called strikes, he just needs to find the right sequencing. Bello should have a rotation spot locked up and won't have any innings restrictions. The cost to see if he can take the nest step shouldn't be prohibitive, but he's in the wrong division, with the wrong home park to use in a streaming capacity. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#222
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $55 million contract extension with the Red Sox in March of 2024. Contract includes $21 million team option for 2030.
Fans eight in win
PBoston Red Sox
April 14, 2024
Bello (2-1) picked up the win Sunday, allowing two runs on six hits and two walks over 5.1 innings against the Angels. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
Bello nearly doubled his season strikeout total Sunday, punching out eight batters after entering the game with 11 total strikeouts through his first three starts. While he surrendered a solo home run to Brandon Drury in the second inning, Bello finished with two earned runs or less for the third time in 2024. The 25-year-old righty is tentatively slated to pitch Friday against the Pirates.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .298 475 72 36 129 26 3 15
Since 2022vs Right .263 549 134 41 131 32 1 14
2024vs Left .195 45 9 3 8 2 0 1
2024vs Right .293 43 10 2 12 3 0 3
2023vs Left .313 322 44 21 93 19 2 13
2023vs Right .229 346 88 24 72 17 0 11
2022vs Left .295 108 19 12 28 5 1 1
2022vs Right .329 160 36 15 47 12 1 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-53%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.80 1.40 120.2 7 12 0 7.8 2.9 0.9
Since 2022Away 4.88 1.47 114.1 9 8 0 8.0 3.0 1.3
2024Home 2.53 1.31 10.2 1 1 0 9.3 3.4 0.8
2024Away 5.40 1.10 10.0 1 0 0 7.2 0.9 2.7
2023Home 3.86 1.35 81.2 5 7 0 7.5 2.6 1.2
2023Away 4.66 1.33 75.1 7 4 0 7.6 2.5 1.6
2022Home 4.13 1.59 28.1 1 4 0 8.3 3.5 0.0
2022Away 5.28 1.97 29.0 1 4 0 9.0 5.0 0.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.80
 
K/9
8.3
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
1.7
 
Fastball
95.5 mph
 
ERA
3.92
 
WHIP
1.21
 
BABIP
.289
 
GB/FB
1.94
 
Left On Base
72.2%
 
Swinging Strike
12.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely option for Opening Day
PBoston Red Sox
March 17, 2024
Manager Alex Cora said Sunday he'll soon decide on an Opening Day starter, and it's likely between Bello and Nick Pivetta, according to Christopher Smith of The Springfield Republican.
ANALYSIS
Bello inked a six-year, $55 million extension with Boston in early March and will enter the season as one of its top rotation pieces. The right-hander made his fourth spring start Sunday and allowed just one run over five frames against much of Atlanta's usual lineup. Bello posted a 4.24 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 132:45 K:BB across 157 innings during his first full season as a starter in 2023.
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
After dominating at Double-A Portland and Triple-A Worcester, Bello was promoted in early July and immediately inserted into the Red Sox rotation. The righty was overmatched and sent back to Triple-A in early August. Bello was recalled three weeks later and gathered much better results. He registered a 3.12 ERA down the stretch, albeit with an inflated 1.56 WHIP, stemming from a .336 BABIP over that 36.1 inning sample. Bello needs to work on his control, but he throws 97-mph and possesses a plus changeup. With some fine tuning and seasoning, Bello could be a rotation staple. It remains to be seen if Bello makes the necessary adjustments and breaks camp in Boston's rotation.
More Fantasy News
Stuck with first loss
PBoston Red Sox
April 9, 2024
Bello (1-1) took the loss versus the Orioles on Tuesday, allowing three runs (one earned) on four hits and two walks over 5.1 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Allows four in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
April 2, 2024
Bello did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing four runs on five hits and a walk over five innings against Oakland. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Nabs Opening Day victory
PBoston Red Sox
March 28, 2024
Bello (1-0) earned the win against Seattle on Thursday, allowing two runs on five hits and no walks while striking out two batters over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Strong spring finish
PBoston Red Sox
March 24, 2024
Bello allowed one run on five hits and three walks while striking out seven over 5.1 innings in Saturday's spring start against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Named Opening Day starter
PBoston Red Sox
March 19, 2024
Bello has been named the Red Sox' Opening Day starter.
ANALYSIS
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