Michael Toglia

Michael Toglia

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Colorado Rockies
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Toglia played in 45 games for the Rockies last season but spent the final month of the campaign in the minors. He had a .163/.224/.284 slash line with four homers in 152 plate appearances, and he had a 34.6 percent strikeout rate through 76 career big-league contests. The 2019 first-round pick had an .842 OPS with 16 homers in 78 games at Triple-A in 2023, so he has little else to prove offensively at the minor-league level. Toglia should have a chance to earn a place on Colorado's Opening Day roster, but his opportunities are likely to be inconsistent without a significant improvement. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#599
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Rockies in March of 2024.
Clubs another homer
OFColorado Rockies
April 15, 2024
Toglia went 1-for-4 with a solo home run during Monday's 2-1 loss to the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
Toglia launched his fourth home run of the 2024 campaign, matching his homer total from a season before in 34 fewer games. Despite his impressive power output, Toglia owns a poor .167 on-base percentage with a massive 36.1 percent strikeout rate.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+36%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+81%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+146%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .460 98 8 3 11 0 .149 .184 .277
Since 2022vs Right .625 217 27 7 18 2 .191 .258 .367
2024vs Left .830 14 3 2 5 0 .154 .214 .615
2024vs Right .459 29 4 2 3 0 .107 .138 .321
2023vs Left .255 48 2 0 1 0 .109 .146 .109
2023vs Right .628 104 16 4 8 1 .189 .260 .368
2022vs Left .594 36 3 1 5 0 .200 .222 .371
2022vs Right .679 84 7 1 7 1 .224 .298 .382
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+29%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+76%
OPS at Home
2023
Even Split
2022
 
 
+59%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .652 145 18 4 15 2 .211 .276 .376
Since 2022Away .506 170 17 6 14 0 .150 .200 .306
2024Home .833 12 2 2 4 0 .167 .167 .667
2024Away .472 31 5 2 4 0 .103 .161 .310
2023Home .506 81 10 1 4 1 .178 .259 .247
2023Away .507 71 8 3 5 0 .147 .183 .324
2022Home .827 52 6 1 7 1 .271 .327 .500
2022Away .521 68 4 1 5 0 .175 .235 .286
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Stat Review
How does Michael Toglia compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.06
 
BB Rate
2.3%
 
K Rate
39.5%
 
BABIP
.050
 
ISO
.293
 
AVG
.122
 
OBP
.163
 
SLG
.415
 
OPS
.577
 
wOBA
.249
 
Exit Velocity
93.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.5%
 
Barrels/PA
9.3%
 
Expected BA
.212
 
Expected SLG
.539
 
Sprint Speed
 
Ground Ball %
41.7%
 
Line Drive %
8.3%
 
Fly Ball %
50.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Receiving run at first
OFColorado Rockies
May 26, 2023
C.J. Cron doesn't have a clear timeline for his return from a back injury, according to Patrick Lyons of TheDNVR.com, which should allow Toglia to continue seeing regular reps at first base for the near future.
ANALYSIS
Toglia has six starts at first base in 10 games since Cron landed on the injured list, though he has yet to find much success at the plate with a .174/.240/.217 slash line. Mike Moustakas started the other four contests at first and could take a larger share of the playing time if Toglia's offensive struggles persist.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
2020
Toglia has a path to playing time at Coors Field, which by itself is enough to put him on the fantasy map. Whether he has anything to offer beyond his role and home park remains to be seen. The 2019 first-round pick's first taste of the big leagues last year didn't go particularly well. He got the call at the tail end of August and went on to hit .216/.275/.378 in 31 games while struggling to a 36.7 K%. To be fair to him, he'd only played in 17 Triple-A games to that point, and those couldn't have gone much better, as he posted a 1.171 OPS. His struggles in the majors suggest he could use more seasoning in the minors, and the Rockies aren't famous for moving young players quickly, but the lack of quality options in front of him means a good camp could nonetheless earn him a starting role. Even if he wins one, however, he might not be good for anything other than power, as he struck out 28.7 percent of the time throughout his minor-league career and offers little with his legs or glove.
The No. 23 overall pick in 2019, Toglia has yet to make his full-season debut and he is already 22, but he is still one of the best hitting prospects in Colorado's farm system, somewhat by default. The 6-foot-5, 226-pound first baseman can also play the outfield, and unlike most sluggers his size, he projects to add value with his glove. A switch hitter, Toglia does more damage from the left side, where he displays plus power to all fields. He projects to walk at a high clip, but given his size and the 25.6 K% he logged in short-season ball after signing in 2019, strikeouts should also be a noticeable part of the equation as he moves up the ladder. The Rockies seem to be half-heartedly entertaining a rebuild, which would clear the way for Toglia in a year or two. He played at the alternate site and in the fall instructional league. Look for him to split the 2021 season between High-A and Double-A.
On the one hand, it is immensely valuable in fantasy to have an everyday position player who plays half his games in Colorado. On the other hand, the Rockies' organizational depth chart is quite crowded and the front office has shown a willingness to bring in washed up veterans to block promising players like Ryan McMahon and Garrett Hampson. It's impossible to know if Toglia will get a fair shake at first base in a few years, but he has the type of offensive upside that is easy to dream on. Selected out of UCLA with the No. 23 overall pick, Toglia has easy plus power to all fields and a patient approach (15.9 BB% in the Northwest League). The 6-foot-5 switch hitter's swing is a little long, which will probably always lead to strikeout percentages in the mid-to-upper 20s, but the OBP and power of a middle-of-the-order masher should be consistently on display as he climbs the ladder.
More Fantasy News
Getting start in right field
OFColorado Rockies
April 15, 2024
Toglia will start in right field and bat eighth in Monday's game versus the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Making most of playing time
OFColorado Rockies
April 11, 2024
Toglia went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Gets chance with Bryant out
OFColorado Rockies
April 6, 2024
Toglia went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run Saturday against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Belts first homer
OFColorado Rockies
April 3, 2024
Toglia went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Tuesday's 12-2 loss to the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Making second start
OFColorado Rockies
April 2, 2024
Toglia is starting at first base and hitting eighth in Tuesday's contest versus the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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