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DFS Amateur Hour - "Seven Out"

Is this good?

I was on quite a heater starting in Vegas two weeks ago where I won money in blackjack and craps, split the purse for the RotoWire staff poker tournament, saw my GOOG and AMZN shares take huge leaps after earnings and posted my best win on FanDuel. Even when I lost money on a given night, I typically got most of my investment back. Not so Tuesday where I put down $100 on two $25 contests and 10 $5 ones and cashed in zero. It was going to happen sooner or later - every hot shooter rolls a seven eventually - but winning zero out of 12 is hard to do.

Let's take a look at what went wrong:

I almost always start with the pitcher, and right there, six of my 12 entries were dead. What's annoying is I had no interest in David Price who I rarely play, but saw someone recommend him on Twitter, and for God knows what reason thought about it and convinced myself he was a safe play against the Rays in what might be his last game as a Tiger. I still had a bad vibe about him, but maybe I was just being stubborn in avoiding him and playing him in the $25 heads up against condia would somehow make up for that? It's a good reminder never to pay attention to what people are recommending on Twitter, and I got caught fading the recommendation, then overcorrecting my fade. Much better not to know and not even get started on those mind games. In any event, the loss drops me to 5-3 against the pros.

But that was only one contest. The other five were dead courtesy of Hisashi Iwakuma. I almost never play non-aces like him, either, but he was a -163 favorite at home (a pitcher's park) and he was cheap ($7300), enabling me to load up on expensive Jays at home against lefty Adam Morgan (another fail.) While the Diamondbacks aren't a great lineup, they're not a patsy you want to target, especially with a non-ace.

The other six pitchers were fine (five with Jose Fernandez, who wasn't great, but 14 points is enough to cash) and one with Noah Syndergaard who was the right call. My problem there was the hitting, and it wasn't so much not having the right team stacks - I did - but not having the right supporting players with them, and not stacking all the right players in the lineups I used.

For example, I stacked White Sox against Wade Miley, but neglected to use Melky Cabrera ($3600) because I thought he was too pricey. Normally, that wouldn't deter me, but because I used him so often earlier in the year at $2200, I expected him to be cheaper. I also had Geovany Soto in one lineup, then removed him for another cheap catcher thinking I could get better value. Jose Abreu was fine, but Avisail Garcia and Alexei Ramirez did little.

Another stack I got wrong was Yankees. I had Chris Young and Alex Rodriguez, but used Mark Teixeira and didn't think to use left-handed Brett Gardner against lefty starter Martin Perez.

One other mistake I made was not using Syndergaard in more lineups in part because I root for him in my NFBC season-long league. I always want to guard against picking players I own, but I overcompensated there. He was relatively well priced and had a home start against the Padres.

In sum, I'm annoyed with the Price start - he wasn't my guy - and I never like lighting $100 on fire, but I had the right idea with the Astros, Yankees and White Sox stacks, so I'm not deterred. The $100 loss takes my bankroll from $1327.60 to 1227.60.