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2016 Closer Rankings - Nov. Edition (Updated 11/18)

The Royals beat the Mets in the World Series (Congrats!).

Let's rank closers for 2016.

(The author's recommended musical pairing for this blog post is available here.)

Tier 1

1. Wade Davis, KC -- Greg Holland's torn UCL has opened the door for Ned Yost to use his best reliever as his closer. I have confirmed with NFBC maven Scott Jenstad that Davis will likely command a late third-round pick at the Main Event in March.

2.Aroldis Chapman, CIN -- It doesn't matter if he's within driving distance of Skyline Chili in 2016 or not, Chapman's combination of elite skills and job security will continue to make him one of the first relievers off the board.

3.Kenley Jansen, LAD -- There is no argument from me if you want to place Jansen at the top of the list. Jansen's 36.0 K-BB% is completely ridiculous (40.0% K%, 4.0 BB%).

Tier 2

4.Andrew Miller, NYY -- Miller was one of three qualified relievers to carry a 40.0% K% in 2015. The only concern with him is the presence of Dellin Betances to vulture a handful of save opportunities.

5.Zach Britton, BAL -- The increased strikeout rate (31.2%, 10.8 K/9) has made me a believer. Brace yourself for the crash.

6. Craig Kimbrel, BOS -- He is still missing a ton of bats (36.4% K%), and has plus-plus job security to boot, especially after the haul the Red Sox gave up to acquire him from San Diego.

7. David Robertson, CHW -- Skills-wise, his first season on the south side of Chicago was excellent (29.2% K-BB%). His strand rate (65.7% LOB%) was unusually high, so he may slide to the back of the top-10 in some drafts.

8. Jeurys Familia, NYM -- Familia broke hearts in October, but he hasn't shaken my confidence for 2016. Terry Collins always chooses the baked potato with his steak, and that is a good thing for Familia's hold on the ninth-inning role.

Tier 3

9. Ken Giles, PHI -- Giles had a 1.50 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 15 saves in 18 chances from July 1 while racking up 47 strikeouts against nine walks in 36 innings (.212 BAA). The ceiling here is that of a top-five closer.

10. Cody Allen, CLE -- Allen's early struggles lingered longer than Mark Melancon's, but he turned it around in a big way in the second half. Only 10 qualified relievers had a better K-BB% than Allen's 25.9% mark.

11. Trevor Rosenthal, STL -- The Violet Beauregarde of closers, managed by the Sam Beauregarde of managers.

12. Mark Melancon, PIT -- Considering the velocity issues he was experiencing in April, it is amazing that his 2015 turned out to be profitable.

13. Huston Street, LAA -- (copy & paste Terry Collins steak joke from above after "Mike Scioscia").

Tier 4

14. Roberto Osuna, TOR -- Gets nudge into Tier 3 as soon as we are certain the Jays don't want to try converting him back into a starter. Osuna turns *21* in February. Maybe he's the next K-Rod?

15. A.J. Ramos, MIA -- Thrived for the Marlins once Steve Cishek was out of the closer role. Ramos' peripherals already compare favorably to Trevor Rosenthal's.

16. Glen Perkins, MIN -- The Twins have been very loyal to Perkins as their ninth-inning option of choice. A 2016 team option brings the final year of the team-friendly extension he signed back in 2012.

17. Francisco Rodriguez, DET -- His margin for error on any given pitch is smaller than most, but he's still getting it done. K-Rod fanned a higher percentage of his batters faced (28.7% K%) than Jeurys Familia (27.9%), Roberto Osuna (27.7%), and Huston Street (22.4%) in 2015. Comerica Park should help him avoid a major regression in HR/9 after he showed a significant improvement last season. Also, the 2014 spike in home runs was fueled by a ridiculous 23.3% HR/FB rate. (He's been in the 12.3-15.2% range otherwise between 2012-2015.)

18. Santiago Casilla, SFG -- Casilla's 2.79 ERA beat his FIP (3.63) by a decent margin, while his strikeout rate spiked (career-high 25.4%) and his walk rate returned to a level (9.4%) close to his career mark (10.2%). Also...he's 35 years old!

19. Jonathan Papelbon, MOON -- Someone should scream in his face that he had THE LOWEST STRIKEOUT RATE OF HIS CAREER IN 2015 (21.5% K%). This ranking assumes that Nationals GM Mike Rizzo does not hire Larry the Cable guy to slingshot Pap into the sun during a Prilosec commercial, and that he (Pap, not LTCG) ends up closing somewhere, while possessing a surprising amount of job security.

Tier 5

20. Arodys Vizcaino, ATL -- It feels as though we have been waiting on Vizcaino forever thanks to the two seasons he lost following Tommy John surgery earlier in his career. If he can chip away at his walk rate, Vizcaino could become an above-average asset in all three reliever categories.

21. Shawn Tolleson, TEX -- Occasional issues with the long ball need to become less frequent to increase his job security in 2016. Otherwise, there is plenty to like here.

22. Luke Gregerson, HOU -- ERA should drop below 3.00 again if his skills hold up, as his control and groundball rate continue to improve.

23. Hector Rondon, CHC -- Does Joe Maddon like Rondon enough to stick with him all season?

24. Brad Boxberger, TAM -- Which guy is he -- the 2014 version (42.1% K%, 8.1 BB%, .152 BAA) or the 2015 version (27.3% K%, 11.8% K%, .228)? Also, his name would be more unusual if it were Brad Bagsausage.

25. Sean Doolittle, OAK -- I hope he's healthy again in 2016.  If he's showing typical velocity in spring training, the interest will only increase.

26. Brad Ziegler, ARI -- No closer of the 30 you are reading about in this blog post had a lower strikeout rate than Ziegler (13.7%) last season.

Tier 6

27. Carson Smith, SEA -- Will new manager Scott Servais lean on Smith as the primary ninth-inning guy, or could Joaquin Benoit emerge to take on the role?

28. Will Smith, MIL -- Smith actually improved against right-handed hitters in 2015, but he posted a reverse platoon split. If he puts the best of his 2014 and 2015 splits together, he could easily be the guy to win the job and keep it. Other names to consider (in current order): Jeremy Jeffress, Corey Knebel, Tyler Thornburg, Michael Blazek, David Goforth and late in 2016, Johnny Hellweg.

29. Kevin Quackenbush, SD -- An early offseason winner based on the moves that Padres general manager A.J. Preller has made thus far. The Padres have a few alternatives already in tow including Brandon Maurer. What if Casey Kelly as a reliever becomes a plan (it's a good idea)?

30. John Axford, COL -- Axford had a 1.58 WHIP in 2015. Don't draft him.

Want to know where Drew Storen will rank when he becomes a closer somewhere? Follow me on Twitter @DerekVanRiper.