This article is part of our Fantasy Football Draft Strategy series.
I'm a big fan of draft strategy in fantasy football. In a snake draft, once you chose a position to use your first-round draft pick on, you've chosen a path the rest of your draft. Take a QB and you'll be behind on gathering WR and RB. Take Rob Gronkowski at TE and you're behind on QB, WR and RB. Similarly, once you make a big purchase in an auction, you've limited what you can do at other positions.
Over the years I've tried to do a lot of math to figure out which path is best. And for the most part, it's paid off as I was well ahead of the trend of taking wide receivers early.
So what's the best draft strategy this year?
Are top WRs finally getting overrated?
My initial take is that the overall market may have overreacted to last year's terrible performance of top running backs. Seven running backs were taken in the top 15 of ADP last season and five ended up as busts. As a result, we're seeing fewer RB than ever in the first round of most drafts. Here's how the positions are being chosen on average in the first 15 picks from four promiment league manager/contest websites.