This article is part of our Fantasy Football Draft Strategy series.
In my previoustwo strategy columns I looked at the trend of wide receivers dominating the first two rounds of most fantasy drafts this season. The trend has caused havoc with my usual strategy of trying to be contrarian and taking wide receivers early and often. After participating in about a dozen drafts and auctions, here are my lessons and my game plan for my remaining drafts.
Start with WR or RB ?
Just to recap the market environment this season: fewer running backs than ever are being taken in the first round. An unprecedented number of receivers are being taken in the first two rounds. Other than Rob Gronkowski, most leagues are waiting on tight end and quarterback.
Thus the key decision in the first round of your draft is whether to take a running back or wide receiver. In previous years, taking a wide receiver had two benefits: being contrarian and the better mathematical play. But with wide receiver inflation you lose the contrarian play. It's easier to win when your strategy pays off and few others have a similar game plan. But the basic math still works as far as loading up with wide receivers early. Here's a recap of the benefits of taking wide receivers early:
a) Top wide receivers remain healthier and are safer than players at other positions. The telling stat is only three of the 40 wide receivers taken with a top-15 overall Average Draft Position (ADP) since 1998 have finished the