NFL Game Previews: Breaking Down Monday Night

NFL Game Previews: Breaking Down Monday Night

This article is part of our NFL Game Previews series.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (+4), 51 o/u – Thursday, 8:25 pm EDT

Comments: Devonta Freeman didn't exactly recapture his 2015 form after getting the Falcons' backfield to himself last week, but scoring two TDs certainly made fantasy owners feel better about his performance. The short week ensures that Tevin Coleman (hamstring) won't return to the mix quite yet, but Terron Ward's impressive numbers against the Packers on a handful of touches could convince coach Dan Quinn to go back to a timeshare. That'd be a shame for Freeman, as he faces a much less stout run defense this week – the Bucs rank in the bottom half of the league in YPC allowed, rushing yards allowed per game and rushing TDs allowed, and still have a big hole in their front seven with Clinton McDonald (hamstring) out. ... Tampa Bay's backfield is in worse shape, though. Jacquizz Rodgers (foot) is out, joining Doug Martin and Charles Sims on the shelf, which leaves the cupboard awfully bare. Undrafted rookie Peyton Barber, who flashed some upside two weeks ago against the Niners, is the shinier option, but former Falcon Antone Smith saw more snaps on offense last week after Rodgers was hurt. The Bucs are so desperate for depth that they brought Mike James back, after he'd spent the season languishing on the Lions' practice squad. Given how banged up Detroit's own RB depth chart has been, the fact that James wasn't able to get onto their active roster

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (+4), 51 o/u – Thursday, 8:25 pm EDT

Comments: Devonta Freeman didn't exactly recapture his 2015 form after getting the Falcons' backfield to himself last week, but scoring two TDs certainly made fantasy owners feel better about his performance. The short week ensures that Tevin Coleman (hamstring) won't return to the mix quite yet, but Terron Ward's impressive numbers against the Packers on a handful of touches could convince coach Dan Quinn to go back to a timeshare. That'd be a shame for Freeman, as he faces a much less stout run defense this week – the Bucs rank in the bottom half of the league in YPC allowed, rushing yards allowed per game and rushing TDs allowed, and still have a big hole in their front seven with Clinton McDonald (hamstring) out. ... Tampa Bay's backfield is in worse shape, though. Jacquizz Rodgers (foot) is out, joining Doug Martin and Charles Sims on the shelf, which leaves the cupboard awfully bare. Undrafted rookie Peyton Barber, who flashed some upside two weeks ago against the Niners, is the shinier option, but former Falcon Antone Smith saw more snaps on offense last week after Rodgers was hurt. The Bucs are so desperate for depth that they brought Mike James back, after he'd spent the season languishing on the Lions' practice squad. Given how banged up Detroit's own RB depth chart has been, the fact that James wasn't able to get onto their active roster is a pretty huge indictment of his current abilities, but at least he knows the Tampa Bay offense. Atlanta's run defense sits just outside the top 10 in YPC allowed and rushing yards per game allowed, so whoever sees the bulk of the touches could have their work cut out for them. ... To be honest, while all the news involves the running games, both teams will likely be chucking it a lot Thursday. The Bucs sit 26th in QB rating against (97.9) and 27th in YPA allowed (8.0), which looks pretty good compared to the Falcons' 28th place in QB rating against (100.2) and league-high 19 passing TDs surrendered. If you invested heavily in WR at your draft or auction table and came away with Julio Jones and Mike Evans, you could have this week just about won by Friday morning.


Predictions: Freeman racks up 110 combined yards and a TD, while Ward also adds 40 yards and a score. Matt Ryan throws for 280 yards and touchdowns to Jones and Mohamed Sanu, with Jones pulling down 110 yards. Barber leads the Tampa backfield with 60 yards, but Smith catches a TD pass. Jameis Winston throws for 320 yards and two other touchdowns, both to Evans, but also gets picked off twice. Falcons, 34-24

Detroit (+6) at Minnesota, 41 o/u – Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: It's amazing how quickly fortunes can change in the NFL. A couple of weeks ago, the Vikings looked like they were going to run away with the NFC North title. Heading into this one though, the resurgent Packers are just a game back of them, and even the Lions could jump into the mix for the division lead with a win here. While Minnesota's defense remains a strength, the collapse of their offense – and especially their offensive line – have left them scrambling. Sam Bradford's been sacked 11 times in the last two games, both Vikings losses, and while Detroit doesn't have an elite pass-rushing unit, Ezekiel Ansah is slowly rounding into form after missing a few games with an ankle injury earlier this season. If someone like Akiem Hicks can bring Bradford down twice, a healthy Ansah should be able to terrorize him. ... What's gotten into Matthew Stafford? I mean that in a good way. The guy who's never thrown fewer than a dozen picks in a full season has an impeccable 9:0 TD:INT over his last four games, a stretch that didn't come against weak pass defenses either. The Eagles (fifth) and Texans (seventh) both sit in the top 10 in QB rating against, while the Rams (12th) and Washington (14th) aren't pushovers. It is tough to imagine a 28-year-old QB suddenly reinventing himself, crazier things have happened. Sunday's matchup will be the biggest test yet for the "new" Stafford though. The Vikings sit second in QB rating against at 68.1, and are tied for second in the league with nine INTs on the season. ... Jerick McKinnon (ankle) could return from a one-game absence, but seems to have lost the starting job to Matt Asiata anyway, and Ronnie Hillman's snap count is rising too. Eric Kendricks is in the concussion protocol for the Vikes are seems unlikely to play. Theo Riddick is still nursing his ankle but should play for Detroit.

Predictions: Riddick picks up 70 combined yards and a receiving TD. Stafford throws for 230 yards and a second score to Marvin Jones, although his streak without an interception comes to an end. Asiata leads the Minnesota backfield with 80 yards. Bradford has to hop on his bike again, getting sacked four times, but throws for 270 yards and TDs to Stefon Diggs and Kyle Rudolph. Vikings, 20-17

Philadelphia (+2.5) at N.Y. Giants, 43 o/u – Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: The Eagles got Dakked last week, as the Cowboys beat them in overtime on a TD pass from Dak Prescott after their coverage completely broke down and they somehow left Jason Witten wide open in the end zone. That's been the story of Philly's season since their bye week though, as they've dropped three of their last four, usually in gut-wrenching fashion. Carson Wentz has looked very much like a rookie during the skid, posting a 4:3 TD:INT and averaging 189.3 passing yards a game after he managed a 5:0 TD:INT and 256.3 yards a game during the team's season-opening three game winning streak, but as big a culprit is a defense that's come up small in crunch time. Fortunately for the Eagles, this week they're facing an offense that plays just as small. Week 6 aside, Ben McAdoo's reluctance to unleash Odell Beckham has resulted in four wins by a combined 15 points and an overall minus-8 differential between their points for and points allowed, while Doug Pederson's crew is plus-62 with the same 4-3 record. ... Beckham isn't the only victim of McAdoo's play-calling. After a quick start to the season, rookie Sterling Shepard hasn't topped 32 yards or scored in the last four games despite seeing 29 targets over that stretch, while Victor Cruz has a 13-136-0 line over those same four games on 26 targets. The pass volume is there for all three WRs to thrive, but not the will to attack the opposition. The Giants aren't taking what they other team gives them so much as meekly waiting for scraps to fall off the table. Despite their late-game lapses, the Eagles still sit fifth in QB rating against (79.1) and passing yards allowed per game (214), so even those table scraps might be little more than crumbs Sunday. ... Both offenses come into the game in good shape, but have some holes on defense. New York's secondary is getting healthier, but safeties Darian Thompson (foot) and Nat Berhe (concussion) remain out. Bennie Logan (groin) could return after a two-game absence to help bolster the Eagles' front seven.

Predictions: Ryan Mathews gains 60 combined yards, while Darren Sproles is held in check. Wentz throws for 220 yards and a TD to Nelson Agholor. Rashad Jennings grinds out 50 yards. Eli Manning throws for 290 yards and touchdowns to Shepard and Paul Perkins. Giants, 20-16

N.Y. Jets (+3.5) at Miami, 44 o/u – Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: It says something about the season the Jets are having that a come-from-behind win against a team still looking for its first victory of the year counts as a positive development. Ryan Fitzpatrick's big (well, OK, adequate) second half against the Browns may have delayed the beginning of the Bryce Petty era, but that's about all it accomplished. The Dolphins have been middle of the pack this year against the pass and have just three INTs, but Fitzpatrick's capable of turning any secondary into a bunch of ball hawks. ... It took a bye to stop Jay Ajayi from rushing for 200 yards last week, but he's going to have a hard time hitting that mark three games in a row. The Jets have now crept ahead of the Packers into first place in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game at 74.0, and their 3.3 YPC allowed is second behind the Panthers. They did get roughed up by David Johnson, but so far he's the only RB to hit them up for triple-digit rushing yards this year, with players the caliber of Le'Veon Bell and LeSean McCoy even failing to break 60. No offense to Ajayi, but he hasn't quite proven he's at that level just yet. ... Good as the Jets run defense has been, their pass defense has been just as bad, sitting in the bottom 10 in YPA allowed, TD passes allowed and completion percentage allowed. That gives DeVante Parker his best opportunity yet to start returning some value. He's been hampered by a lingering hamstring injury over the past month, posting a 12-138-0 line on 17 targets over the four games heading into Miami's bye, but if the week off allowed him to get healthier, he could be in line for another big second half. The matchup also gives Ryan Tannehill an opportunity for his production to catch up to his performance. In some respects, he's having the best season of his career – he's fourth in the league in YPA at 8.1, a full yard better than his career mark – but his 7:7 TD:INT is pretty woeful, especially given the expectations that came along with new head coach Adam Gase.

Predictions: Matt Forte rushes for 110 yards and a score. Fitzpatrick throws for 210 yards and a TD to Brandon Marshall, but gets picked off twice. Ajayi manages 60 yards, while Tannehill throws for 300 yards and three touchdowns, one each to Parker, Kenny Stills and Kenyan Drake. Dolphins, 27-20

Jacksonville (+7.5) at Kansas City, 44 o/u – Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: Blake Bortles finally had a performance up to his 2015 standards last week, in that he waited until the game was completely out of reach before firing up a few TDs, but even that flashback wasn't enough to pull a decent line out of Allen Robinson. Over the Jags' three games since their bye, Robinson had caught a brutal 11 of 29 targets, turning them into just 128 yards and no touchdowns, and it's hard to fathom how a receiver with as much physical talent as ARob can be doing so little with that kind of volume. Bortles' accuracy issues are certainly a factor, but they don't explain everything. A matchup against a Chiefs secondary that leads the league in INTs with 11 and sits ninth in QB rating against at 83.5 isn't likely to spur Jacksonville's aerial attack into life, either. ... It's a good thing the draft pick the Packers gave up for Knile Davis was conditional. Just a couple of weeks after Davis was dealt away, he's back in Kansas City after it became the Chiefs' turn to be in desperate need of depth in the backfield. Spencer Ware is out with a concussion and Jamaal Charles' knee landed him back on IR, which leaves Charcandrick West as the team's starter and Davis right back where he started in a backup role. Former Titan Bishop Sankey is also in the mix but, much like Davis in Green Bay, he'll not likely to be given much of a role before he has a chance to learn the offense. The Jags are giving up 124.7 rushing yards a game (27th in the league) and are tied for 25th in rushing TDs allowed with nine, so West (and Davis, if he gets any kind of action behind West) could hit the fantasy jackpot this week. ... RB isn't the only spot in turmoil for KC. Alex Smith is also out with what may or may not be a concussion, leaving Nick Foles as the starting QB. Foles looked good in relief of Smith last week, and his history with Andy Reid (Reid made him a third round pick in 2012 in his final year with the Eagles) should make him a "safe" backup, but it is still Nick Foles. The big question with the switch at QB, and the RB injuries, is whether it will push the Chiefs into passing the ball more. The Jags' soft run defense suggests it won't, but with Foles in the game last week Jeremy Maclin had his second double-digit target game of the season, while Tyreek Hill has had best game of the year.

Predictions: Chris Ivory leads the Jacksonville backfield with 50 combined yards. Bortles throws for 260 yards and touchdowns to Robinson and Julius Thomas. West hits for 90 combined yards and a TD, while Foles throws for 280 yards and scores to Maclin and Chris Conley. Hill also returns a punt to the house. Chiefs, 31-17

Dallas at Cleveland (+7), 48.5 o/u – Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: Think about it for a second: if this game were in Dallas, the Cowboys would be favored by 13 in a battle of rookie quarterbacks. That's a bit nuts. Dak Prescott has been good, but he's not Tom Brady. Much as this tilt screams "trap game" for the 'Boys, coming off an emotional OT win over a divisional rival, it's still hard to see a path to victory for the Browns. They're 31st in rushing yards allowed (143.8 per game) and 29th in YPC allowed (4.8), so they're unlikely to slow down Ezekiel Elliott, and even if they do their pass defense is just as bad (30th in QB rating allowed at 103.4, tied for second-worst in TD passes allowed at 19). Cody Kessler might need to be the one playing like Brady if they're going to have a chance. ... Kessler will at least have both his most dangerous WRs available, as Corey Coleman seems set to return from his hand injury and Terrelle Pryor (hamstring) is off the injury report. The Cowboys also lost both Morris Claiborne (sports hernia) and Barry Church (forearm) last week, weakening a pretty thin secondary. Cleveland's best shot at stealing this one could come if the game turns into a shootout. ... The wild card is new Browns linebacker Jamie Collins, who's expected to get a big workload in his Cleveland debut. He may not get a lot of pressure on Prescott thanks to the Cowboys' all-world offensive line, and the Browns' defense was certainly more than one piece away from respectability, but his presence could spur the rest of the unit to turn things around. Much as with the preseason trade of Pro Bowl punter Andy Lee after a public display of lollygagging, this deal seems as much aimed at impacting the locker room culture of a winless team as it does impacting the results on the field.

Predictions: Elliott rambles for 120 yards and two scores, while Prescott throws for 250 yards and TDs to Dez Bryant and Jason Witten. Duke Johnson leads the Browns backfield with 70 yards and a receiving touchdown. Kessler throws for 210 yards and a second TD to Coleman. Collins returns a Prescott fumble for a touchdown to keep it close. Cowboys, 31-27

Pittsburgh (+3) at Baltimore, 43 o/u – Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: Landry Jones wasn't terrible against the Patriots in his first start before the Steelers' bye, but as he usually does Ben Rothlisberger (knee) is threatening to return from injury much sooner than expected, and after practicing in a limited fashion all week he could be a game-time decision Sunday. The team would love to get him back for a potentially crucial divisional game, and the Ravens' defense isn't the mauling, nasty unit it's been in the past, but caution might yet win out here. On the other hand, Baltimore's run defense is as tough as its reputation, ranking in the top five in YPC (3.5) and rushing yards per game (81.9) allowed. Nobody's held Le'Veon Bell under 100 yards from scrimmage yet, but if the Ravens find a way to do it, the Steelers will probably need more than Jones can give them from under center. ... On the third hand, Baltimore's defense is held together by chewing gum and duct tape at the moment. Coming out of their bye, Elvis Dumervil (foot) remains sidelined and Shareece Wright (back) is likely out as well, while C.J. Mosley (thigh), Terrell Suggs (biceps) and Lardarius Webb (hamstring) are all less than 100 percent. Even if the latter trio all suit up, that still seems like a lot of holes for Bell to exploit. ... Steve Smith (ankle) is also questionable for Baltimore, and Crockett Gillmore (thigh) is out. Other than Big Ben, William Gay (foot) is the only other key name on the injury report for the Steelers.

Predictions: Bell racks up 100 combined yards. Roethlisberger plays and throws for 260 yards and TDs to Antonio Brown, who tops 100 yards, and Sammie Coates. Kenneth Dixon leads the Ravens backfield with 80 yards, while Terrance West scores a short TD. Joe Flacco throws for 270 yards and touchdowns to Mike Wallace and Dennis Pitta. Ravens, 21-17

New Orleans at San Francisco (+3.5), 52 o/u – Sunday, 4:05 p.m. EDT

Comments: Much as it's tempting to look at other factors when it comes to the performance of the Saints' offense, it really comes down to where they're playing. At home, Drew Brees has a 12:2 TD:INT and 8.5 YPA this year. On the road, those numbers drop to 6:3 and 6.5. The Niners pass defense isn't great, only ranking in the top 10 in passing yards allowed per game because their run defense is among the worst in the league, but Brees just hasn't been able to rise to the challenge away from the Superdome. That said, they have just as many road wins this season and the 49ers have home wins, so even if Brees doesn't light it up, that doesn't mean New Orleans is doomed. ... Who's going to get the most opportunities to dismantle that terrible Niners run defense? Mark Ingram's fumbling issues put him on the bench last week, giving Tim Hightower a chance to carry the load, and the journeyman somehow gashed the Seahawks for over 100 yards. A timeshare seems likely, but that might just make both of them worth a roster spot. San Fran's allowing an unbelievable 185.1 rushing yards a game, more than 40 yards clear of Cleveland in 31st place, and they're in last place in YPC allowed at 5.1 as well. There are actually three teams that have given up more rushing TDs than their 10 though (including the Saints), which I guess counts as a positive. ... Carlos Hyde (shoulder) didn't face contact all week in practice, so look for Mike Davis, Shaun Draughn and DuJuan Harris to split the backfield load for the 49ers.

Predictions: Ingram gains 80 yards and a score, while Hightower also gets into the end zone. Brees throws for 220 yards and a TD to Brandin Cooks. Harris rushes for 50 yards, and Draughn catches a TD pass. Colin Kaepernick also runs for a score, and throws for 170 yards and a second touchdown to Vance McDonald. 49ers, 23-21

Carolina at Los Angeles (+3), 44.5 o/u – Sunday, 4:05 p.m. EDT

Comments: The Panthers' bye week wasn't long enough to get Cam Newton to 100 percent, although the punishment he took from the Cards last week didn't help. Surprisingly, the Rams' pass rush has evaporated this season, and they sit near the bottom of the league with just 10 sacks, so Newton could get a bit of a reprieve Sunday. Carolina won anyway against Arizona even without much of a contribution from their QB, and that's something they might have to get used to. Despite their 2-5 record, advanced metrics still rate them as one of the best teams in the league, so if Newton does start to turn things around don't be too surprised if they have a "miraculous" late-season surge into the playoff picture. ... If you thought Jeff Fisher was waiting for the Rams' bye week to switch QBs, keep dreaming. Despite a 4:7 TD:INT over his last three games, Case Keenum will inexplicably remain under center for the 3-4 squad. The Panthers' pass defense has been shockingly bad as they break in their crop of rookie corners (28th in QB rating against, tied for 27th in passing TDs allowed), but two road games against the Saints and Falcons perhaps skew those numbers a bit. Keenum is not going to remind anyone of Drew Brees or Matt Ryan any time soon. ... Shaq Thompson (knee) is out for the Panthers, while Luke Kuechly (groin) missed a couple of days of practice but is expected to play. That can only be good news for Todd Gurley against a defense that ranks third in rushing yards allowed per game (80.1) and first in YPA allowed (3.3).

Predictions: Jonathan Stewart picks up 60 yards and a touchdown, while Newton throws for 250 yards and a touchdown to Ted Ginn, and runs in a second score. Gurley breaks out with 110 yards and a TD. Keenum throws for 210 yards and a touchdown to Brian Quick, although he does avoid a turnover. Panthers, 24-20

Indianapolis (+7.5) at Green Bay, 54 o/u – Sunday, 4:25 p.m. EDT

Comments: And just like that, it looks like the Packers' passing game is back. Aaron Rodgers has a 7:0 TD:INT over his last two games, and a Colts defense with a 103.1 QB rating against (29th in the NFL) doesn't seem likely to slow this turnaround. Of course, Rodgers also only has a 6.1 YPA over those two games, so he's not exactly posting MVP numbers, but if he keeps racking up touchdowns in the absence of a reliable running game, no one will be complaining. ... Andrew Luck hasn't been too shabby recently either, posting a 5:1 TD:INT over his last two games, and Green Bay's 25th-place ranking in QB rating against (97.4) isn't really any better than Indy's, so it's no wonder the over/under on this game is sky high. (Now that I've said that, watch this one become a field goal battle). T.Y. Hilton's been batting a hamstring injury but isn't on the injury report, and Donte Moncrief scored in his return to the lineup last week, so Luck's receiving corps is as healthy as it's been in a while. Given all the injuries in the Packers' secondary, that depth could be key. ... Randall Cobb (hamstring) will be a game-time decision for Green Bay, while Jared Cook (ankle) and James Starks (knee) remain out. Safety Mike Adams (groin) is out for the Colts, while Vontae Davis (concussion) and Dwayne Allen (ankle) both seem set to play.

Predictions: Frank Gore is held to 30 yards. Luck throws for 340 yards and three TDs, two to Moncrief and one to Hilton with T.Y. topping 100 yards. Ty Montgomery gains 70 combined yards and scores. Rodgers throws for 360 yards and touchdowns to Jordy Nelson, Davante Adams and Richard Rodgers. Packers, 34-27

Tennessee (+5) at San Diego, 47 o/u – Sunday, 4:25 p.m. EDT

Comments: Quietly, Marcus Mariota is putting together a pretty good sophomore campaign. He's thrown multiple TDs in six of eight games so far, and is on pace for a thoroughly respectable 28:12 TD:INT on the year. His improvement's flown somewhat under the radar, as much due to a lackluster receiving corps as DeMarco Murray's impressive start, but a road game against the Chargers will be a good test of how much he's actually progressed. Despite the loss of Jason Verrett, San Diego still sits eighth in QB rating allowed (83.2) and second in INTs with nine, and Joey Bosa's emergence gives them a legitimate pass rushing threat. ... The Broncos have been the only team this season to keep Melvin Gordon out of the end zone, but his 249 yards from scrimmage in two games against them hardly qualifies as slowing him down. Gordon's 3.6 YPC on the season remains weak, but the Chargers' lack of healthy and reliable weapons has kept the RB's touch volume high, and he's taken advantage. That run of production could hit a wall Sunday, though. Tennessee's been even stingier on the ground than the defending champs, sitting fifth in rushing yards allowed per game (82.5) and tied for second in rushing TDs allowed with three. ... Hunter Henry (knee) is out for San Diego, while Tyrell Williams and Travis Benjamin are both nursing knee injuries. Delanie Walker (groin) will be a game-time decision, but wasn't able to practice Friday.

Predictions: Murray runs for 80 yards and scores twice. Mariota has a quiet game, throwing for 180 yards and running for 40 more but getting held out of the end zone. Gordon gets stuffed, managing only 50 yards. Philip Rivers throws for 260 yards and TDs to Dontrelle Inman and Antonio Gates. Chargers, 23-17

Denver at Oakland (PK), 44 o/u – Sunday, 8:30 p.m. EDT

Comments: The battle for the AFC West lead is a curious one Sunday night. Both teams are 6-2, but the Raiders have scraped by to get there, winning only one game by more than seven points and putting together an overall plus-12 point differential, while the Broncos have racked up a plus-58 differential, winning all but one of their games by eight or more, and that one coming back in Week 1. The foundation of that Denver success is a bit fragile at the moment though, as corners Aqib Talib (back) and Kayvon Webster (hamstring) are both out. That plays right into Oakland's strength, which has been Derek Carr's arm. Generally speaking, you don't want to face a QB coming off a 500-yard passing day with an undermanned secondary, but that's the spot the Broncos find themselves in. ... Devontae Booker has acquitted himself fairly well since C.J. Anderson went down, topping 80 yards from scrimmage and scoring in each game, but the Raiders' soft run defense gives him a shot at a true breakout. They sit 30th in YPC allowed (4.8) and 28th in rushing yards allowed per game (125.0), and they've been just as bad against pass-catching backs. Neither Juwan Thompson nor Kapri Bibbs saw any kind of meaningful workload against the Chargers last week, so the starting job looks like it's firmly in Booker's hands. ... Brandon Marshall (hamstring) is also questionable for Denver. Amari Cooper is battling a back issue, but is expected to play for Oakland.

Predictions: Booker explodes for 140 combined yards and two TDs. Trevor Siemian throws for 220 yards and a touchdown to Emmanuel Sanders. Latavius Murray runs for 50 yards, while Carr throws for 240 yards and a score to Jalen Richard, but also gets picked off twice, with Todd Davis returning one of them for a TD. Broncos, 31-10

Buffalo (+7) at Seattle, 43.5 o/u – Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT

Comments: If any team is happy to be returning home this week, it's the Seahawks. An ugly tie in Arizona gave way to a loss in New Orleans last week, and after failing to win two very winnable games, they'll be looking to take their frustrations out on someone. Rex Ryan's teams usually like playing scrappy, physical games, but they might not have the horses to keep up Monday. It might be quicker to list the important Bills who aren't on the injury list this week. Marcell Dareus (groin) and Corbin Bryant (shoulder) are both out, leaving the defensive line short-handed, while Jerry Hughes (hand), Lorenzo Alexander (hamstring) and even backup LB Lerentee McCray (knee) are all questionable, further weakening the front seven. On offense, LeSean McCoy (hamstring) headlines a list of questionables that also includes Charles Clay (knee), Robert Woods (foot) and Reggie Bush (groin). McCoy's expected to give it a go, but we saw how that worked out last time, and Seattle is seventh in rushing yards allowed per game (89.7) anyway. ... The 'Hawks defense isn't at full strength either, with Michael Bennett (knee) and Kam Chancellor (groin) both out again. Even so, they've allowed a league-low five passing TDs, and if McCoy isn't able to focus the defense's attention on the running game, Tyrod Taylor and the Island of Misfit WRs he chucks it to could be in for a long night. ... Buffalo's pass defense is pretty good in its own right, sitting just outside the top 10 in QB rating against, but while they minimize big plays, their 8.0 YPA allowed is 27th and would seem to play right into the hands of an efficient quarterback like Russell Wilson.

Predictions: McCoy suits up but has his snaps limited, and Mike Gillislie leads the Bills backfield with 70 yards. Taylor runs for 40 himself, but throws for only 150 yards. Christine Michael bangs out 90 yards and a touchdown. Wilson dink and dunks his way to 260 passing yards, and hits Jimmy Graham and Doug Baldwin for scores. Seahawks, 24-9

Last week's record: 7-5-1, 3-10 ATS, 7-6 o/u
2016 regular season record: 68-50-2, 51-65-4 ATS, 60-58-2 o/u

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Erik Siegrist
Erik Siegrist is an FSWA award-winning columnist who covers all four major North American sports (that means the NHL, not NASCAR) and whose beat extends back to the days when the Nationals were the Expos and the Thunder were the Sonics. He was the inaugural champion of Rotowire's Staff Keeper baseball league. His work has also appeared at Baseball Prospectus.
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