Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: Is the WR Market Back to Normal?
Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: Is the WR Market Back to Normal?

This article is part of our Fantasy Football Draft Strategy series.

Before the fantasy football season begins each summer, I try to take a step back and take a broader view of the market for players and what strategy I should employ. I believe draft strategy is important because in fantasy football once you choose a position in the first round of your draft, you've chosen a path for the rest of your team. Take a QB and you'll be behind on gathering WR and RB, for example. Similarly, once you make a big purchase in an auction, you've limited what you can do at other positions. What path is best?

It's also important to take a global view to see if the market is overreacting to last year's stats because it may provide opportunity. Take 2012, for example. When five of the top 10 fantasy scorers by VBD (Value Based Drafting, which is fantasy points vs. position) in 2011 were quarterbacks and two tight ends were in the top 12 (Rob Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham had monster seasons), the market overreacted in the 2012 preseason. A record five quarterbacks went in the top 15 of ADP and both Gronkowski and Graham were taken in the top 20. The NFL hadn't changed and QBs and TEs were not suddenly the best fantasy football options. Sure enough, the 2012 season was dominated by running backs and wide receivers with only one quarterback finishing in the top 10 of fantasy scoring (as measured by VBD) and no tight end in the top 25.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Peter Schoenke
Peter Schoenke is the president and co-founder of RotoWire.com. He's been elected to the hall of fame for both the Fantasy Sports Trade Association and Fantasy Sports Writers Association and also won the Best Fantasy Baseball Article on the Internet in 2005 from the FSWA. He roots for for the Minnesota Twins, Vikings and T-Wolves.
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