This article is part of our Fantasy Football Draft Strategy series.
It's also important to take a global view to see if the market is overreacting to last year's stats because it may provide opportunity. Take 2012, for example. When five of the top 10 fantasy scorers by VBD (Value Based Drafting, which is fantasy points vs. position) in 2011 were quarterbacks and two tight ends were in the top 12 (Rob Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham had monster seasons), the market overreacted in the 2012 preseason. A record five quarterbacks went in the top 15 of ADP and both Gronkowski and Graham were taken in the top 20. The NFL hadn't changed and QBs and TEs were not suddenly the best fantasy football options. Sure enough, the 2012 season was dominated by running backs and wide receivers with only one quarterback finishing in the top 10 of fantasy scoring (as measured by VBD) and no tight end in the top 25.