This article is part of our Showdown/Single Game DFS Breakdown series.
The Browns opened as 3.0-point favorites in New York, a spread that went down to 2.5 briefly before moving all the way to 6.5 after it was announced that Jets starting quarterback Sam Darnold would not play after being diagnosed with mononucleosis. The 45.5-point total on FanDuel Sportsbook isn't high, and with the Jets showing a 19.5-point team total while using a backup quarterback, there aren't likely to be many Jets stacks.
There's no question that Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield ($11,200 DK, $15,000 FD) is going to be popular, especially in a game that probably doesn't require rostering both QBs. The Browns' offense struggled in Week 1 against the Titans, but they still have a number of weapons at the skill positions that should give Mayfield plenty of opportunities to make an impact. He'll likely be a popular captain/MVP pick as well, which makes the most sense if you believe he'll be effective at spreading his passes around.
The Jets will be rolling out Trevor Siemian ($8,200 DK, $12,500 FD) against a Browns defense that can put pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Rostering Darnold in this matchup was probably going to be ill-advised, and playing a guy who hasn't thrown an NFL pass since 2017 won't likely make people want to jump on him either. He'll surely be a contrarian pick, and the Jets do have multiple pass catchers where you don't necessarily need to focus on their receivers for a captain/MVP spot, but it's a pretty big leap of