This article is part of our Survivor series.
Unless you had the Ravens or Patriots available, last week was a minefield with losses by the Chargers, Cowboys and Chiefs. And the Packers barely squeaked by, thanks to an assist from the referees.
Let's take a look at this week's slate:
|Team||Opponent||%Taken*||Vegas ML**||Vegas Odds||Expected Loss|
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
What an interesting slate! The Bills are the biggest favorites by far, but also 70 percent owned. The 49ers and Pats are tied for the second biggest, though the Pats are lower owned (and also not available for many.) And the Packers are low-owned and a possible pivot if you want to go pot odds against the Bills.
Let's compare the Bills to the 49ers first. A Bills win/49ers loss happens 17.29 percent of the time. A 49ers win/Bills loss happens 7.29 percent. The ratio of 17.29 to 7.29 is 2.37.
In our hypothetical 100-person, $10 buy-in pool, if the Bills win/49ers lose, 22 people are out with the 49ers and another two people on other