This article is part of our DFS Tournament Guide series.
The Week 11 slate reminds me of NBA DFS, where much of the strategy revolves around loading up on players from teams that are missing multiple starters. The Falcons and 49ers, in particular, were hit hard by injuries the past couple weeks, removing players that account for a large portion of their carries and targets.
There is, of course, at least one crucial difference between basketball and football. An NBA team that gets "shut down" generally will still score at least 80 points and grab at least 30 rebounds. On the other hand, a rough day for an NFL team might mean half its usual yardage total and zero or one touchdowns. (More players on the field + fewer plays/possessions = higher variance.)
Betting odds from Vegas suggest the Niners and Falcons will still manage to put up points, with solid QB play and workable matchups perhaps mitigating the impact of injuries. In Atlanta's case, it certainly doesn't hurt to have Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley left behind as healthy options. In fact, the offense might benefit if Matt Ryan is forced to utilize Ridley more often, rather than throwing short passes to Devonta Freeman (foot), Austin Hooper (knee) or Mohamed Sanu (traded).
As always, I'm happy to discuss strategy in the comments section below, or on twitter (@RotowireNFL_JD).
Note: All prices listed come from DraftKings, but most of the logic can be applied to other sites across the DFS industry. Discussion is limited to players from the