This article is part of our Exploiting the Matchups series.
Welcome to fantasy championship week, where the decisions you get wrong may haunt you for the next eight months. One solution? Don't take it so seriously. A better solution? Don't screw up in the first place. Good luck!
Before we get into specific players to upgrade or downgrade for Week 16, here are some of my favorite tools for analyzing matchups:
- Jeff Erickson's value meter
- RotoWire's weekly projections
- RotoWire's weekly composite rankings
- Betting odds
- RotoWire's pages for advanced stats and TE route data.
- Pace stats and DVOA from Football Outsiders
- Next Gen Stats from NFL.com
- Player Grades and Premium Stats from Pro Football Focus
- Personnel Grouping Frequencies and Run:Pass Ratios from SharpFootballStats.com
- Opponent and teammate injuries
- Target share
- Snap counts
- Defense vs. Position stats
Note: Discussion below mostly is limited to players that are being started in 10-to-90 percent of lineups on Yahoo. There are plenty of other players with good or bad matchups, but we'll focus our energy on the guys most likely to be involved in difficult lineup decisions.
Note, Pt. 2: References to 'fantasy points' are based on scoring with 25/10 yardage, 4/6 TDs and 0.5 PPR, i.e., standard settings on Yahoo and FanDuel.
- Andy Dalton, CIN at MIA
I don't think many fantasy managers have made it this far into the playoffs with rosters weak enough to consider starting Dalton. The exception, of course, would be superflex or two-QB formats, where any warm body facing the Dolphins should be treated as