ADP Analysis: Peterson Looking Good, Gibson Flying Too High

ADP Analysis: Peterson Looking Good, Gibson Flying Too High

This article is part of our ADP Analysis series.

This week's edition of ADP Analysis compares data from the first five days of August to data from Aug. 8-12. Per usual, our ADP numbers are coming from BB10s.com.

Moving Up ⬆️

RB45, ADP 111.6 ➡ RB42, ADP 104.9

I remain in the minority that isn't fully convinced of Mattison's handcuff value. He was an ordinary prospect coming out of Boise State, and his 4.6 YPC last season was inflated by a few long runs in garbage time. Even I'm wrong about Mike Boone pushing for backup carries, the Dalvin Cook injury scenario doesn't necessarily involve Mattison taking on the full workload. It could easily be Mattison & Boone on a split for early downs, with Ameer Abdullah handling passing downs. Remember that Mattison was targeted only 11 times last year.

Cook comes with more injury risk than Alvin Kamara or Ezekiel Elliott, but that doesn't necessarily make Mattison a better pick than Latavius Murray (RB41) and Tony Pollard (RB45), both of whom would be stronger bets for three-down workloads in the event of an injury to their team's star running back. In terms of the recent ADP bump for Mattison... I don't have any explanation.

RB63, ADP 202.0 ➡ RB52, ADP 149.3

I'm surprised Peterson hasn't moved up more since Derrius Guice was waived, considering the 35-year-old took 251 carries in 2018 and 211 more last season. The 200-250 carry range remains a possibility, but drafters rightfully seem weary, perhaps worrying that

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry Donabedian
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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