Mike Evans
Mike Evans
26-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Evans has been monstrously efficient the last two years with a league-leading 11.0 YPT in 2018 and 9.8 (4th) last year, thanks in large part to his big-play ability - 17.3 YPC (2nd) and seven catches of 40-plus (4th) on only 118 targets (T-19th). At 6-5, 231, Evans is massive for a receiver, and he has enough speed (4.53 40) to create the moderate amount of separation he needs. Evans also got his share of red-zone work - 17 looks in only 13 games, including nine targets from inside the 10 (T-10th) and seven from inside the 5 (T-2nd). The big question for 2020 is how Tom Brady's presence will affect Evans and teammate Chris Godwin. While Jameis Winston was a mediocre real-life quarterback, he was great for the fantasy prospects of his top receivers, especially a deep threat like Evans. Brady rarely threw the deep ball the last few years in New England, and at age 43, he has below-average arm strength. That said, Brady hasn't had a receiver like Evans since Randy Moss, and Brady had no problem getting Moss the ball downfield 10 years ago. The other question is how the team integrates newly acquired, newly unretired tight end Rob Gronkowski, who at press time is expected to share the position with O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate. If Gronkowski stays healthy, he should cut into Evans' red-zone work at the very least. But No. 3 WR Breshad Perriman left for the Jets, so there should be some extra targets freed up there, and the Bucs should have a pass-heavy offense in any event. Evans missed the last three games of 2019 with a hamstring injury, but he's expected to be 100 percent healthy for training camp. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a five-year, $82.5 million contract with the Buccaneers in March of 2018.
Starts getting work with Brady
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
Hamstring
May 20, 2020
Evans (hamstring) was among a contingent of Buccaneers skill-position players that worked out with Tom Brady at Berkeley Preparatory School on Tuesday, Rick Stroud and Joey Knight of the Tampa Bay Times report.
ANALYSIS
Team facilities are beginning to open up for a limited number of administrative employees, but coaches and players are still prohibited from reporting. However, the NFL is allowing players to get together for workouts in their local cities as long as they are abiding by governmental regulations. With Florida beginning to quickly loosen restrictions, Brady has wasted no time getting together with as many of his key skill players as possible. Evans is naturally at the head of that group, and Tuesday, he could be seen walking through routes alongside his new quarterback in order to nail down exactly where Brady wants him to make his cuts. Evans averaged 78.8 receptions, 1,241.8 yards and 7.2 touchdowns across 15 games per season over his five campaigns playing with Jameis Winston, and those already impressive numbers are expected to potentially see a boost with the significant upgrade at quarterback. At the very least, Evans' presence at the workout Tuesday suggests he's moved past the right hamstring strain that sidelined him for the Bucs' final three games of the 2019 season.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Mike Evans' 2019 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
136.8
 
Air Yards Per Snap
2.20
 
% Team Air Yards
28.4%
 
% Team Targets
19.4%
 
Avg Depth of Target
15.2 Yds
 
Catch Rate
57.3%
 
Drop Rate
6.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
4.0
 
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2019
2018
2017
2016
2019 NFL Game Log
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2018 NFL Game Log
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2017 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Tampa Bay BuccaneersBuccaneers 2019 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

957
0
810
0
652
0
231
0
180
0
97
0
59
0
26
0
7
0
2
0
1
0
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Mike Evans lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2019 Mike Evans Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Mike Evans' measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 5"
 
Weight
231 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.53 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.26 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.08 sec
 
Vertical Jump
37.0 in
 
Bench Press
12 reps
 
Hand Length
9.63 in
 
Arm Length
35.13 in
 
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46 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Evans had one of the quieter 1,500-yard seasons in recent memory. Perhaps playing on a bad team for a rotating tandem of quarterbacks had something to do with it, or maybe it was the relatively modest 86 catches and eight TDs. Either way, the 25-year old Evans was amazingly efficient with 11.0 YPT (1st), 17.7 YPC (1st), 26 catches of 20-plus yards (2nd) and six catches of 40-plus (T-3rd) on only 138 targets (11th). Contrast Evans' season (138 targets for 1,524 yards) with Antonio Brown's (168 targets for 1,297 yards) for example - the efficiency discrepancy is stark. At 6-5, 231, and with 4.53 speed, Evans isn't quite on the Julio Jones level of freakishness, but few players that big are also that fast. At 26, Evans is still squarely in the prime of his career, and he could receive a boost with downfield-focused coach Bruce Arians replacing the departed Dirk Koetter, though offensive coordinator Todd Monken, who helped power Evans' efficient season, is now in Cleveland. Deep threat DeSean Jackson and possession man Adam Humphries are both gone now, leaving Chris Godwin and rising-star tight end O.J. Howard as Evans' only major competition for Jameis Winston's passes. Evans could also see an uptick in TD scoring. Despite his massive frame, he saw only 14 red-zone targets last year (the same number as Humphries), six targets from inside the 10 and two from inside the five - all four-year lows. With a coaching upgrade, fewer mouths to feed in the passing game and more stability under center, Evans has the best environment of his career.
What an odd career Evans has had so far. His touchdown totals beginning with his rookie year are 12, 3, 12 and 5. He seems to toggle between rising star or pedestrian talent depending on whether the year is odd or even. Dig a little deeper, however, and Evans' 2017 wasn't that different from his 2016, as his poor YPT and average YPC barely changed. It was his volume - 173 targets two years ago and only 136 in 15 games last year - that fell off most. At 6-5, 231, Evans is a monster physically, and his 4.53 40, while below average for a 185-pound wideout, is blazing for someone built like a tight end. One would think Evans would be among the top leaders in red-zone looks, but that's not the case. His 18 targets from that area ranked only ninth, and his nine targets inside the 10 were tied for ninth too. Evans can make plays down the field - he had four catches of 40-plus yards his rookie year, but he's had only five in the three years since, spanning 457 targets. Evans should reprise his role as the team's No. 1 wideout in 2018, and in fact the Bucs extended his contract another five years in March with a whopping $55 million guaranteed. But DeSean Jackson is still around to stretch the field, second-year man Chris Godwin could have a bigger role, and tight ends O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate should also remained involved. In short, while last year's 136 targets are Evans' healthy floor, don't expect his 2016 volume to return any time soon. And don't be surprised if Evans gets off to a slow start, as quarterback Jameis Winston will be suspended for the first three weeks, leaving Ryan Fitzpatrick to fill in.
Very often, volume is king. It was the case for DeAndre Hopkins in 2015, Pierre Garcon in 2013 and Evans last year. Despite a pedestrian 13.8 YPC and 7.6 YPT (28th among the league's 41 100-target WR), Evans finished fifth in catches (96), fourth in yards (1,321) and tied for second in TDs (12) en route to the No. 1 non-PPR season among all WR. That's what happens when you lead the league in targets (173). At 6-5, 231 pounds and with 4.53 speed, Evans is a freak, not quite in the Julio Jones/Calvin Johnson mode, but more peak Brandon Marshall. Evans didn't make many downfield catches last year (15 for 20-plus yards, only one of 40 or more), and despite his size was only tied for 11th with 19 red-zone looks. But he converted seven of those for scores, something about which we shouldn't be surprised given the physical mismatch he presents. The Bucs added plenty of talent to the receiving corps for 2017 with deep threat DeSean Jackson, third-rounder Chris Godwin and first-round pick tight end O.J. Howard to pair with the already competent Cameron Brate. Moreover, tailback Charles Sims should be ready for the start of training camp, siphoning off a few more targets per game. This is likely to cost Evans opportunities, but also upgrade his efficiency now that the defense has to pay attention to other players.
On the surface, other than a dramatic drop in TDs, it looks like Evans largely duplicated his stellar rookie season. He actually averaged more YPC (16.3, 3rd) and nearly as many YPT (8.1, down from 8.5). Evans saw more red-zone looks in 2015, more targets inside the 10 and inside the five. Moreover, he played with Jameis Winston (7.6 YPA), a decided upgrade over the Josh McCown/Mike Glennon combo. So why did Evans catch only three TD passes on 148 targets after scoring 12 on 123 as a rookie? For starters, he led the league with 10 penalties and 11 drops, though six drops came in one game. Second, Winston scored six rushing TDs, depriving his receivers of some easy end-zone targets (TB's 22 pass TDs ranked 22nd). Third, as Evans admitted, his chemistry with Winston was "a little bit off", a problem the two sought to rectify this offseason. At 6-5, 231, with good speed (4.53 40) for his size, Evans is too big for opposing defensive backs and too fast for linebackers. Even in a down year, he still managed 21 catches of 20-plus yards (4th), two more than Odell Beckham and DeAndre Hopkins. Vincent Jackson is still around, but at 33 he's a complementary option. While Austin Seferian-Jenkins could steal some RZ targets, Evans should reprise his role as No. 1 WR on a team with little depth at the position.
While Sammy Watkins had more buzz heading into the draft, and Odell Beckham Jr. stole the show during the regular season, Evans' rookie year was remarkable in its own right. For starters, he became only the eighth rookie wideout to eclipse 1,000 yards since the start of the millennium (though he was one of three to do it last year) and scored 12 TDs despite missing a game. And Evans accomplished these feats, along with a robust 8.5 YPT (14th), as a 20-year old while playing for the league's sixth-worst passing offense (6.8 YPA). At 6-5, 231, Evans is an enormous target, and he has enough speed (4.53 40) to get deep, especially given how little separation he needs to make plays over smaller defensive backs. While 32-year-old Vincent Jackson is still around, Jackson's at best option 1B, and more likely the clear second fiddle as Evans grows into a bigger role with new offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter and new quarterback Jameis Winston on board. Koetter's hire is especially encouraging, as he presided over one of the NFL's most pass-happy attacks the last three years in Atlanta, and Winston is widely considered the most NFL-ready QB prospect in this year's draft.
While Sammy Watkins has the flash, it’s Evans who fits the profile of the modern No. 1 receiver in today’s NFL. He might have to wait a year or two with Vincent Jackson around, but there’s little doubt about his physical skills. At 6-5, 231, and running a 4.53 40 at the NFL Combine, Evans is enormous and fast enough to do damage down the field given his size. (His best unofficial time was actually 4.48). Think a younger Brandon Marshall with a little more height. He’ll make an ideal red-zone target, so even as second fiddle to Jackson, he should be a source of touchdowns from the outset. The quality of the offense remains to be seen, but it’s likely to improve over last year’s with new offensive coordinator Mike Tedford brought in from Cal and new quarterback Josh McCown.
More Fantasy News
Gains HOF-worthy QB
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
Hamstring
March 18, 2020
Evans (hamstring) is slated to catch passes from Tom Brady during the 2020 season after the latter agreed to a two-year deal with the Buccaneers this week, Jim Trotter of NFL.com reports.
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Unable to play in Pro Bowl
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
Hamstring
January 27, 2020
Evans (hamstring) didn't play in the Pro Bowl.
ANALYSIS
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Done for the year
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
Hamstring
December 18, 2019
The Buccaneers placed Evans (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Scott Smith of the team's official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Missing first practice of Week 16
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
Hamstring
December 17, 2019
Evans (hamstring) isn't participating in Tuesday's practice, Eduardo A. Encina of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Officially ruled out
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
Hamstring
December 13, 2019
Evans (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game in Detroit, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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